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Dan Canova gives out his best value picks for your Super Bowl LIV DFS lineups

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will square off in Super Bowl LIV on Sunday, Feb. 2 at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL.

The 49ers finished with 29.9 points per contest this regular season, which was good enough for second in the NFL.

Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo finished with 3,978 passing yards and 27 touchdowns, running back Raheem Mostert had 772 rushing yards on 137 attempts with eight rushing scores and tight end George Kittle hauled in 85 receptions for 1,053 yards and five scores.

On defense, Fred Warner led the Niners with 118 total tackles to go with three sacks and one interception, rookie of the year favorite Nick Bosa piled up nine sacks and 16.5 tackles for a loss, which was a team high. As a team, the Niners only allowed 19.4 points per game.

For the Chiefs, quarterback Patrick Mahomes led the passing attack with 4,031 yards, 26 touchdowns and only five interceptions on the season.

Damien Williams led Kansas City in rushing with 498 yards and five scores and tight end Travis Kelce came away with 97 receptions for 1,229 yards and five touchdowns. Kansas City’s offense ranked fifth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 28.2 points per contest.

Defensively, Tyrann Mathieu had 75 total tackles with two sacks, 12 passes defensed and four interceptions to anchor Kansas City’s secondary. Linebacker Anthony Hitchens piled up 88 tackles and two sacks.

Both teams are loaded with talent so here are the best value picks for your DFS lineups.

Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman

DraftKings: $3,300

Kansas City Chiefs rookie wide receiver Mecole Hardman has shown big-play ability this season.

The only problem is he’s only shown it in spurts because there are so many weapons for the Chiefs.

When you are surrounded by the likes of Kelce and wide receivers Sammy Watkins and Tyreek Hill, you just don’t get many opportunities.

With that said, when Hardman has gotten the opportunities, he has made the most of them. During the regular season, he came away with 26 receptions for 538 yards and six scores.

If the Niners key on Kelce and Hill, which I assume they will, look for head coach Andy Reid to get Hardman the ball in this game. He could truly be a difference maker.

Chiefs RB LeSean McCoy

DraftKings: $2,100

LeSean McCoy, who was inactive for the AFC Championship Game against the Tennessee Titans, hasn’t done much through two games in the playoffs simply because it’s been the Damien Williams show.

But if the Chiefs want to rely on a veteran presence to make a difference against a top defense like San Francisco, Reid will give McCoy the football in this one.

McCoy could potentially be a sneaky play for DFS Super Bowl lineups.

49ers RB Matt Breida

DraftKings: $4,800

San Francisco 49ers running back Tevin Coleman separated his shoulder in the NFC Championship Game against the Green Bay Packers, which means Matt Breida may actually be in line for more work behind Mostert in the Super Bowl against the Chiefs.

Breida has shown flashes of brilliance this season, which included a 114-yard performance on only 11 carries with three touchdowns against the Cleveland Browns back in Week 5.

The 49ers were the No. 2 ranked rushing offense this season, only behind the Baltimore Ravens, which means you can expect them to run the ball a ton in this game. Breida is a nice pick here.

49ers WR Emmanuel Sanders

DraftKings: $7,800

All the top receiving options (with their DFS values) in this game include KC WR Tyreek Hill ($16,500), KC TE Travis Kelce ($14,400), SF TE George Kittle ($12,600), SF WR Deebo Samuel ($11,400) and KC WR Sammy Watkins ($10,500).

Niners wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders at $7,800 is well below them all.

If the Niners are going to win this game, they will need Garoppolo to throw and keep up with Mahomes.

Sanders has had a few nice games with San Francisco, including a 9-reception, 157-yard performance with one touchdown against the New Orleans Saints back in Week 14.

If this game turns into a shootout like the Niners’ 48-46 win over the Saints, Sanders could easily put up a top performance at the wide receiver position.

49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo

DraftKings: $12,000

It’s always good to pick a QB in your DFS lineup. In this situation, why not pick Garoppolo?

Mahomes has a value set at $18,900, which is by far the highest salary in the Super Bowl DFS.

Garoppolo, whose salary is at $12,000, is nearly $7,000 less than Mahomes, so why not choose him and use that extra money to improve other parts of your DFS squad?

Like I said above, if this game turns into a shootout, I don’t see why Garoppolo doesn’t keep up with Mahomes.

Roll with the Niners quarterback in your DFS lineups because it’s the smarter value pick.

By Dan Canova

Article Author

Expert handicapper known for his deep knowledge of all things NBA and his ability to pick winners.


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