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Our expert handicapper Brian Good gives his prop bet picks for Super Bowl LIV

The Super Bowl is a sporting event unlike any other across the globe. From the standpoint of a casual fan, there are a million different reasons to love the spectacle that is football’s biggest game. From Super Bowl parties to the halftime show and commercials, there’s something for everyone.

But from the standpoint of a bettor, the Super Bowl’s draw comes from the ability to get a bet in on basically anything and everything within the game. If you can think of it, you can probably bet it. As a matter of fact, The American Gaming Association estimates 26 million Americans will bet approximately $6.8 billion on Sunday.

San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Chiefs | 6:30 pm EST

1u – Coin Toss Result – Tails @ +100

No Super Bowl wager better highlights the popularity of obscure prop bets than the hype surrounding the result of the opening coin toss. Sportsbooks and bettors have come together to find a way to guarantee a win or loss before the game has even gotten underway. In theory the odds are 50/50, but it doesn’t hurt to take a look at some trends surrounding the flip.

Of the 53 previous Super Bowl coin toss results, 28 have gone tails and 25 have turned up heads.

Tails is on a hot streak as of late, coming up in five of the last six Super Bowls. The opening coin toss was heads in 2018 when New England took on Philadelphia in Minneapolis, but that’s the lone occurrence since 2013.

The history of Super Bowl coin flips has been a streaky one, with heads winning 6-out-of-7 times between 2007-2013. I’ll be banking on the recent string of tails to continue come Sunday. And it obviously goes without saying that tails never fails.

1u- Team To Call First Timeout – Kansas City @ -110

As a lifelong Eagles fan that grew up rooting for Andy Reid, I’ll be hoping to see Big Red win his first Super Bowl ever on Sunday. I also have nightmares about some of his clock management decisions during his time in Philadelphia, and if I have one criticism of the future Hall of Famer it’s his propensity to call an unusual timeout.

His time management issues haven’t always been time-out based, he drew some criticism earlier this year in a loss to Green Bay for a misjudged decision to punt, but it’s something for which he’s well known around The City of Brotherly Love.

I have no doubt that Andy will have his team ready to go, but it also wouldn’t shock me to see him waste a timeout early on to avoid a meaningless delay of game.

1u – Total Interceptions – Over 1.5 @+135

This one may seem counterintuitive, seeing as Patrick Mahomes has only thrown five interceptions this season and Jimmy Garoppolo has attempted just 27 passes in the postseason, but we could easily see both quarterbacks throw one to the other team.

Mahomes will have plenty of opportunities to make a mistake. He threw just under 35 pass attempts per game this season and while it didn’t lead to many turnovers throughout the year, he hasn’t faced a pass defense as strong as San Francisco’s. The Niners boast the best passing defense in the league, giving up 169.2 yards per game in the regular season and only 34 plays of 20+ yards, tied for first in the NFL.

Tight coverage from the 49ers’ standout secondary will lead to tiny windows for Mahomes, who likes to try and fit balls into tight spaces thanks to his other-worldly arm talent. I expect one of those throws to find someone in a San Francisco jersey

On the other side of the ball, the Niners’ ground game has dictated play for much of the postseason, but I don’t expect the San Francisco run game to be able to keep up with Mahomes and the rest of the KC offense by itself. Garoppolo is going to have to sling it a bit more than he’s used to, and he’s thrown three INTs in their last four games. Don’t be surprised to see at least one pick from Jimmy G.

Article Author


Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.


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