NFL Futures: Offensive Rookie Of The Year

Who offers the best value to win Offensive Rookie Of The Year
Samuel Farley
Fri, May 1, 10:36 PM EDT

The NFL Draft has drawn to a close and now with this years rookies at their teams, it's time to find the best bets available to win Offensive Rookie Of The Year.

2u - Joe Burrow @ +250

The first overall pick is the clear favorite in this market and it's obvious why. The Tiger has become a Bengal and has an exciting array of talent, with Joe Mixon dominating on the ground and AJ Green, Tyler Boyd, John Ross and fellow rookie Tee Higgins in the receiver room.

Burrow needs to be backed but as a safety option if any of the following don't land, allowing us to cover our bases if the probably happens and he wins.

1u - Clyde Edwards-Helaire @ +1600

16/1 for a running back at the Chiefs seems like crazy value. In the Oddschecker mock draft I suggested the Chiefs should claim Edwards-Helaire with pick 32 and they duly did. Like I wrote then, he really could be their best back since Jamaal Charles, superior to Kareem Hunt and with none of the baggage. If you remember what Hunt did that year you will know about CEH's potential in this offense.

Andy Reid will find ways to get the ball into the former-LSU back's hands, and no defense in the league would risk stacking the box against Patrick Mahomes. The only really worry is Damien Williams, who was excellent in the Super Bowl, but he had a pedestrian season, and Kansas City wouldn't have invested a first in a back they weren't going to start. This is a huge price for a guy who has a floor of eight rushing touchdowns, and could end up comfortably in double figures.

0.5u - Denzel Mims @ +8000

Mims is the only reciever I'm considering to win this award. We have an insanely deep class, with talent selected from the first to third rounds. The first wideouts off the board ended up in situations that don't lend themselves toward winning this award. That isn't the case for Mims, who has a great mix of speed, size and skill, who finds himself with the Jets.

The Jets have historically been a dumpster fire but they have a young and talented QB in Sam Darnold and Le'Veon Bell in the running game. What Mims doesn't have is real competition as a pass catcher and he should get fed, which would ultimately lead to him getting more targets than many, if any, other rookie recievers. He is an absolutely massive price at 80/1 and you need to get him before you can.

0.5u - Ke'Shawn Vaughn @ +9000

Ke'Shawn Vaughn was selected 76th overall and will now play alongside Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin in Tampa Bay. That's some supporting cast and although he is likely going to be behind Ronald Jones II initially I expect him to win that starting job very soon. Bruce Arians has historically relied upon three-down backs and I expect Vaughn to become his bellcow. If that's the case, and Tampa Bay also live up to expectations, then you're getting insane value at 90/1. 

Sam Farley
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021

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