Week 5 NFL Parlay: Sunday's NFL Picks and Predictions
4-Team NFL Parlay at +1360 - $50 bet wins $680!
We’re officially a quarter of the way through the NFL season, so we’re starting to learn a bit about some teams that we may not have known coming in.
If you’re looking for the TL;DR version of this week’s parlay, it’s basically this: The Steelers and Colts are overrated by oddsmakers, the Giants may never score another offensive touchdown and the Chiefs’ defense is much better than you may think.
If you’re in need of a little bit more detail before you lay down your hard-earned cash, read on below for a four-team, +1360 NFL parlay for Sunday.
NFL Expert Picks
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Leg 1: Eagles +7 @ -105
The Eagles have been bad this year, there’s really no denying that. They’ll most likely continue to look bad Sunday, throwing off-target passes to no-named receivers as Nate Gerry wanders aimlessly through the defensive backfield trying to figure out his assignment, but I think oddsmakers are overvaluing the Steelers’ 3-0 start to the season.
Wins over Denver, Houston and the Giants are hardly turning heads, especially when those teams are a combined 1-11 and only one of Pittsburgh's wins has come by more than a TD.
The Eagles took a step in the right direction last week with a win over San Francisco as 8.5-point underdogs on the road. The Steelers are a better team than San Francisco is right now, and will most likely win by a 3-6 points, but I’m confident in the Birds, getting a full touchdown. I lose some confidence when we start talking about the spread falling to 6.5-to-6 points, though.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Cleveland Browns
Leg 2: Browns ML @ +100
I promise, this isn’t an overreaction to last week’s win over the Cowboys. It’s more that I have a similar feeling about the Colts as the one I have for the Steelers. Indy followed a Week 1 loss to the 1-3 Jaguars with wins over the 1-3 Vikings and 0-4 Jets. Last week’s victory over Chicago was decent, but that game was ugly and didn’t give me much of a reason to trust the Colts’ offense.
This is not the Browns team you’re used to seeing. They’re creative offensively and get the most out of their star-studded offensive skill group. Kevin Stefanski has this team believing in themselves and it’s showing on the field.
The Colts’ defense is for real, but I like the Browns to get by Indy on Sunday at home.
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys
Leg 3: Cowboys -8.5 @ +100
Growing up an Eagles fan, I’ve been taught to hate the Cowboys and Giants equally, so I can’t say I’ve been unhappy watching both struggle at the start of the season (Yes, I know that the Eagles suck too, we've covered that).
Having said that, there are levels to how bad you can be in the NFL. The Cowboys are bad defensively, but are the No. 1 offense in the NFL. The Giants are, for my money, the worst team in the entire league.
The most points they’ve scored in a game this season is Week 1’s 16-point effort, and they’ve managed just three offensive touchdowns in four games. They’re currently riding a streak of eight straight quarters without a touchdown and look completely inept with the ball.
If there is any offense in the world the Cowboys can stop, it’s the Giants. I see something like a 42-14 or 35-17 finish in this one.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Leg 4: Kansas City vs. Las Vegas Under 56.5 @ -115
I wanted to take the Chiefs and lay the 11.5-12.5 points, but it’s a little too steep for me in a division game. However, the total is calling my name here.
Kansas City’s defense has been good this season. The most points they’ve given up in a game is 20, and no KC game has gone over 54 total points yet this year.
The issue here will be an Oakland defense that has struggled to get stops, but I see more of a tough-fought AFC West matchup than a back-and-forth shootout in the 30s or 40s.
NFL Free Picks
Looking for even more NFL picks and analysis? There's a host of exciting games on the Week 5 slate this Sunday, and OddsChecker's crack team of handicappers includes Ben Gretch, Ben Rolfe, Davis Mattek, Richard Johnson and Alex Kirshner, here to give you the best free picks for the games.