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NFL expert Sam Farley breaks down Sunday's Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars game

Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

  • The Jaguars are 15-24 when playing as the home team following a loss, since 2013

The Jags come into this game with a 1-4 record, which is disappointing given the team started the season off with a win against the Colts. They've lost two divisonal games since, and crucially two games which they'd hope to be winning, against the Dolphins and the Bengals, two of the league's weaker sides.

There have been upsides though, Gardner Minshew has 10 touchdowns on the season, tied for 7th in the NFL, although a quarterback rating of 64.4 is more indicative of his performances, which has shown glimpses of real talent in addition to some simple mistakes. Laviska Shenault and James Robinson too have been great and both could be a cornerstone of the offense going forward. Shenault in particular has been dynamic and explosive across the field, but his recent usage is showing that the Jaguars are moving him more into a wideout role and not so many gadget plays. 

Detroit has one of the league's worst defenses but despite they'll still win this game. They come into this game following a bye. Their backfield is still a mystery, with an RBBC that could feature of any the backs at any moment, but one thing isn't a mystery, Kenny Golladay is continuing to develop into one of the league's finest recievers.

The Jags have given up 30+ points in each of their last four games and despite home field advantage, they'll likely give the Lions plenty of opportunities to match that. Take the hit on the Lions and points and it should pay off.

NFL Expert Picks

1u – Detroit Lions -3.5 @ +100

NFL Free Picks

Week 6 is here after a wild week 5. Week 5 saw Covid postponements, harrowing injuries and unreal rookie performances too. We'll see an NFC West clash between the Niners and Rams on Sunday Night Football, and two of the finest young minds in the game. Monday Night Football will see the Cowboys in their first post-Dak game and it'll be fascinating to see how they bounce back after that horrific injury. Stick with OddsChecker and you'll get free picks for every NFL game this week, from Ben Gretch, Davis Mattek, Ben Rolfe and more. Plus you'll be able to compare the best odds from legals sportsbooks too.

Article Author

A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA.


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