- The Chiefs have won their last 9 road games against the Broncos
The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 this season but it still feels like they haven't quite got going, and they certainly aren't playing at the levels which they achieved last season. The Broncos on the other hand aren't playing well, they're knocked up and struggling for consistency.
The Chiefs won by 9 points on Monday against Buffalo, and while their defense isn't as good as we thought it would be pre-season, it's still better than the Broncos. Put simply, the Broncos won't be able to stop this KC offense, so I simply have to take the Chiefs -9.0, it's good to turn down.
The key to winning that bet isn't the Chiefs though, it's the sheer impotence of the Denver offense, they've been awful recently, and although Drew Lock is back on the field, he doesn't look right and isn't at full fitness yet.
Denver beat the Patriots with the help of Brendan McManus leg but those 3-point attempts won't be good enough when you've got Patrick Mahomes taking the ball the length of the field against you, not a Covid-19 ravaged Cam Newton.
One thing to remember is that run defense is the one redeeming feature of this Broncos team, so despite Clyde Edwards-Helaire having a huge game on Monday, and the arrival of Le'Veon Bell, it's key to stay away from rushing props. It's worth keeping an eye out on Travis Kelce's anytime TD odds when the market comes out though.
Besides a game against the New York Jets, we haven't seen the Broncos offense cooking. With that in mind we're also going to take the under, despite it being a very low 45.5, to go alongside the Chiefs -9.
NFL Expert Picks
1u – Chiefs -9 @ -108
1u - Under 45.5 @ -105
NFL Free Picks
We're onto Week 7 of the NFL season with the Ravens, Dolphins, Colts and Vikings all on bye-weeks. We have some divisional games this week including the Bengals meeting the Browns and Washington facing a depleted Cowboys. The game of the weekend is arguably Titans vs. Steelers, with both teams being hugely impressive. Elsewhere we'll see Jon Gruden face his old team, the Buccaneers on Sunday Night football and the Rams face the Bears in primetime on Monday Night Football.
Our impressive array of handicappers, including Ben Gretch, Davis Mattek, Ben Rolfe, Alex Kirshner, Richard Johnson, Brian Good and Sam Farley, are on hand to give you the best picks. Don't forget to compare odds to ensure you get the most return on your bets too.