- The Falcons have lost 8 of their last 9 as home favorites against AFC favorites
It's been a big week in Atlanta but this Sunday is going to be tough as the Broncos enter town. Denver come into the game as underdogs but I think this will be a lot closer than the line of 4.5 suggest.
The Falcons give up an average of 323 yards per game to rival QB's which bodes well for Denver when they're beginning to show improvement in that area. There are still questions over whether Drew Lock is the answer for the Broncos but he'll have every opportunity to put on a show against the Falcons, who are 31st in the league in yardage allowed to quarterbacks. It's been a good tactic this year to stream QB's playing the Falcons in fantasy and I think we can expect Lock to perform well here.
Jerry Jeudy has had a slow start to his NFL career and he's undoubtedly finding things harder now that he's the number one option in that offense because of Courtland Sutton's injury. In his last game he recorded a season high 73 yards and this could well be a breakout game for the rookie.
I'm expecting this, much like many things in Georgia this week, to be a close call and although I think the Falcons may even win, I think the Broncos will be a lot closer than some believe. Take the Broncos and the points.
NFL Expert Picks
Broncos +4.5 @ -110
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