- The Dolphins have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games
This game feels like a huge trap for the Arizona Cardinals. They've lost 4 of their last 5 games as home favorites and seem to perform far better when they don't have the weight of expectation on them.
We've not seen the real Tua Tagovailoa yet after a fairly underwhelming debut last Sunday. We need to remember though that despite Tua not exploding onto the scene in his first game he still helped the Dolphins beat a good Rams team by 11 points.
The Dolphins have been a real surprise package this season and for me Brian Flores is the standout to win Coach Of The Year. What he has done with this roster is nothing short of sensational. Before Tua was named the starter the team had been playing so well with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center but Flores had the cajones to make the move to Tua and the team's performances didn't skip a beat.
This Dolphins defense is nasty too and incredibly well coached. They held the Jets to a goose egg, limited the Niners to 17 points and have been better than the sum of their parts all year long. I think you simply have to take the underdogs to cover here. I love how the Cardinals offense plays and Kyler Murray is a star but the smart money is on Miami. I wouldn't even blame you for taking them on the moneyline at +190.
NFL Expert Picks
Dolphins +4.5 @ -110
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