- 7 of the Saints last 9 games have gone over the total points line
The story of this game is Jameis Winston, to be more accurate, it's about how Jameis Winston steps in to the starting role after Drew Brees' injury. Winston only connected with 6 of his 10 passes after entering the game on Sunday, accumulating just 63 yards. Let's not forget though, that Winston will come into this game after a week running with the firsts.
The line for the game is currently Saints -5. Even with a downgrade under center I'd still lean towards the Saints covering here. They've finally got Michael Thomas back, Alvin Kamara looks as good as ever and the Falcons aren't a great team.
I'm putting my money elsewhere though, I'm backing over 51.5 points to be scored. The Falcons have averaged 27 points per game this year, and despite their struggles they're still a very dangerous team. The Saints have averaged over 30 points per game, and even without Brees I'd still expect them to put up some serious numbers again. Jameis Winston's time in Tampa Bay was known for high scoring games, because of both his ability to find receivers but also his unfortunate habit of giving up picks. I can't help but see this going over.
NFL Expert Picks
1u – Over 51.5 @ -106
NFL Free Picks
Week 11 sees us entering the business end of the season. Thursday Night Football is a divisional clash between the Cardinals and Seahawks and two MVP contendeners in Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray. With nine teams currently sat on 6-3 records we are likely to see teams begin to seperate themselves from the pack this week. The Titans trip to trip to Baltimore to the Ravens is a big game and one which is sure to feature a lot of rushing, elsewhere on Sunday we'll be keeping an eye on the Saints to see how Jameis Winston does as he steps into Drew Brees' spot because of injury. Sunday Night Football sees the Chiefs face the Raiders, looking for revenge after suffering defeat against Jon Gruden's teams earlier in the season. Monday Night Football rounds off the week as we see the Rams face the Bucs in an intriguing primetime clash.
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