NFL Week 11 Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cleveland Browns Predictions
- The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in day games this season
There are no amount of points that you could give the Philadelphia Eagles right now that would make me comfortable betting on them.
They are an absolute train wreck in basically every aspect of the game, and I expect them to continue to look bad for the remainder of the season.
The Eagles’ issues start with Carson Wentz. Wentz, who came into the 2020 season looking to build on a strong finish in 2019, looks like a shell of his former self, the player who was on his way to an MVP award in 2017 before tearing his ACL.
For some perspective on just how bad Wentz has looked, he’s thrown 12 interceptions, the most since his rookie season (14), he’s averaging 6.1 yards per attempt, the worst of his career, and he’s completing 58.2% of his passes, which is also his lowest mark since entering the NFL.
Wentz has been sacked 35 times, the most in the league, and a lot of that comes from him holding onto the ball for far too long. Wentz is sacked on an incredible 9.3% of his drop backs. Nothing works in the Eagles’ passing game right now, but Wentz is only half the problem.
Head coach Doug Pederson, who was showered with praise for his innovation following the Eagles’ Super Bowl victory in 2017, has completely regressed as a play caller and game manager.
You need to look no further than Sunday’s loss to the Giants to find an example of how Pederson has lost touch with the talent on his team.
Wentz, for all his shortcomings this season, has always excelled as a passer outside the pocket. Unfortunately, Pederson has completely abandoned any designed rollouts. Miles Sanders came into Sunday leading the entire NFL with 6.1 yards per carry. He got just 15 rushes against the Giants.
Meanwhile, in Cleveland, Philadelphia native Kevin Stefanski has the Browns at 6-3 overall and coming off a win over the Houston Texans. There are plenty of questions surrounding just how good quarterback Baker Mayfield really is, but Stefanski has gotten the most out of his players in 2020.
On the other end of the ball, Myles Garrett and the rest of the Browns’ defensive line is sure to feast on a bad Eagles OL. Garrett comes in with 9.5 sacks on the season and I wouldn’t be surprised if you saw him put up a 3-sack effort this week against the Birds.
I’m taking the Browns and the under. If the Eagles can score more than 14 points, I’ll be shocked. Even in games they’ve won, they’ve struggled to put the ball in the end zone.
NFL Expert Picks
Browns -3 @ -115
Under 48 @ -110
NFL Free Picks
Week 11 sees us entering the business end of the season. Thursday Night Football is a divisional clash between the Cardinals and Seahawks and two MVP contendeners in Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray. With nine teams currently sat on 6-3 records we are likely to see teams begin to seperate themselves from the pack this week. The Titans trip to trip to Baltimore to the Ravens is a big game and one which is sure to feature a lot of rushing, elsewhere on Sunday we'll be keeping an eye on the Saints to see how Jameis Winston does as he steps into Drew Brees' spot because of injury. Sunday Night Football sees the Chiefs face the Raiders, looking for revenge after suffering defeat against Jon Gruden's teams earlier in the season. Monday Night Football rounds off the week as we see the Rams face the Bucs in an intriguing primetime clash.
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Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.