Russell Wilson has thrown multiple interceptions in three of his past four games. That stretch immediately followed a streak of 39 straight games without doing so.
Kyler Murray has at least 60 rushing yards in seven of nine games this year, and at least one rushing touchdown in eight of nine games.
Thursday Night Football features a rematch of perhaps the most thrilling NFL game of the season. Arizona’s Week 10 victory over the Bills might have something to say about that, but I think I’d side with the first meeting between the Cardinals and Seahawks, which included D.K. Metcalf iconically chasing down Budda Baker, Tyler Lockett going absolutely nuclear with 15 receptions, 200 yards, and three touchdowns, and Kyler Murray and the Cardinals erasing a 10-point deficit in the final three minutes of regulation before winning in overtime.
One key moment in overtime of that game was Russell Wilson throwing his third interception of the game, allowing Arizona to eventually get back into field goal range after they had already missed one potential game-winning kick in the extra period. For Wilson, that was his first multi-interception game since Week 1 of 2018, as he went the rest of 2018 and the entirety of the 2019 season without such a performance. Since that Week 7 game, though, Wilson has added two more multi-interception games, and the Seahawks have dropped all three of those contests, their only losses of the season.
Wilson’s recent downturn in play is a little hard to explain. In the Arizona game and the Seahawks’ loss to the Bills, he still managed to complete over 65% of his passes for over 380 yards and multiple touchdowns in each. He mostly looked sharp except for a couple of lazy throws. Last week against the Rams wasn't the same story. Along with the turnovers, Wilson completed fewer than 60% of his passes and failed to throw a touchdown, both firsts for him this year.
Seattle's defense is perhaps the worst in the league — a case can be made they aren't quite that bad, and are giving up the most passing yardage and total yardage in part because of how aggressive the offense plays, but I'm not sure the distinction matters. The bottom line is they can't stop anyone, and when Wilson is not on his game, the Seahawks don't stand much of a chance.
One common thread among all three of Wilson's recent poor games is they came on the road. The Seahawks are back in Seattle Thursday night, and while they have a short turnaround from the tough road loss to the Rams, the Cardinals also have a quick turnaround after the exciting Hail Mary win over Buffalo last Sunday. These two teams now sit in a three-way tie with the Rams at 6-3 atop the hypercompetitive NFC West, and both teams know how big this game is.
This one will be a high-scoring affair, which the massive 57.5 over/under indicates. Kyler Murray’s passing numbers have been on the rise, but it’s his rushing prowess that has really helped keep the chains moving all season for Arizona. Murray has at least 60 rushing yards in seven of nine games, and a rushing score in eight of nine. The Cardinals offense is rounding into form as Murray has perhaps overtaken Wilson as the frontrunner for MVP — Arizona averaged 370 yards of offense in their first four games this year, but have kicked that up to 470 over their five games since, including a season-high 519 in the win over Seattle.
Expect the Cardinals to put up points, and expect this game to be a shootout. The total begs you to take the under, and yet I’m not interested — these teams combined for 71 points in their first matchup. So the question becomes whether we’ll see the Russell Wilson we’ve all come to expect? Back at home, and in a huge divisional matchup, I think we do. And I think Seattle takes this game and covers the three points.
NFL Expert Picks
Seattle Seahawks -3 @ -106
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Week 11 sees us entering the business end of the season. Thursday Night Football is a divisional clash between the Cardinals and Seahawks and two MVP contendeners in Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray. With nine teams currently sat on 6-3 records we are likely to see teams begin to seperate themselves from the pack this week. The Titans trip to trip to Baltimore to the Ravens is a big game and one which is sure to feature a lot of rushing, elsewhere on Sunday we'll be keeping an eye on the Saints to see how Jameis Winston does as he steps into Drew Brees' spot because of injury. Sunday Night Football sees the Chiefs face the Raiders, looking for revenge after suffering defeat against Jon Gruden's teams earlier in the season. Monday Night Football rounds off the week as we see the Rams face the Bucs in an intriguing primetime clash.
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