Week 11 NFL Parlay: Sunday's NFL Picks and Predictions

4-Leg Parlay @ +1620 - $50 to win $810

NFL Expert Picks

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints

Leg 1: Falcons +4.5 @ -106

Earlier this season, I started one of my picks out by saying I would NEVER bet on the Atlanta Falcons again. Here we are, just a few weeks later, and I’m back betting on the Atlanta Falcons.

Obviously, under normal circumstances, I wouldn’t be backing the Falcons to ever keep a game against the Saints close, especially one in New Orleans, but this week’s game is different.

Drew Brees is going to miss a few weeks with a rib/lung injury, so in steps Jameis Winston. Jameis Winston will, without a doubt, throw multiple picks on Sunday. At times, he will look great. Then, he’ll forget about a linebacker dropping into his zone and throw it right into his hands. He threw for 30 touchdowns and 30 interceptions last season, a mark I didn’t even think was possible, and I think he lets a much worse Falcons team hang around this week.

Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

Leg 2: Titans +5.5 @ +100

For the second leg of this parlay, I am, once again, betting on a team that I don’t have a lot of faith in on a week-to-week basis.

I’m not a Ryan Tannehill believer, and I don’t think you can succeed in today’s NFL if the best player or your offense is your running back. Having said that, 5.5 points is far too many to be giving the Titans against the Ravens.

The Titans have looked extremely pedestrian these past three weeks, losing to Cincinnati and Indianapolis, but the Ravens have also dropped two of their last three.

Lamar Jackson is far from his MVP form that he showed last season, and the offense is struggling as a result. I still think the Ravens win, but maybe by 3-or-4 points. I don’t see it getting all the way to a 6-point game.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Washington Football Team

Leg 3: Bengals ML @ +106

I’m not entirely sure what Washington has done to deserve being favored in this game, but that’s where we are as of now and I’m riding the Bengals.

Neither of these teams are good, but Washington’s two wins this season are against a really bad Eagles team and an even worse Cowboys team. Meanwhile, the Bengals beat the Titans, should’ve beaten the Colts and have played some decent teams tough.

Alex Smith has looked fantastic at quarterback since he’s returned, and he’s an absolutely unbelievable comeback story, but the Bengals are just the better team, and I feel comfortable backing Joe Burrow to take care of business come Sunday.

Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts

Leg 4: Packers ML @ +115

I don’t think the Colts are good enough on offense to keep up with the Green Bay Packers, even with one of the best defenses in football.

Green Bay, whether or not Davante Adams plays, has enough talent to score on this Colts defense. I’m not entirely sure the Colts will be able to put up points.

Philip Rivers played maybe his best game of the season last week against the Titans, but I see that as more of an outlier than anything else. He has struggled week after week to get the ball down the field. He’s 22nd in the NFL in QBR and has just 11 touchdowns to seven interceptions.

I like the Packers to win big against a slightly above average Colts team.