- The Houston Texans are 2-7 ATS this season
It’s been hard to bet the Patriots this year. One week they’ll do something like dominate the Baltimore Ravens, then they’ll almost lose to the Jets another week.
But, as the season goes on we usually see Bill Belichick teams get stronger, and I assume that will continue to be true in 2020.
So, as they travel to Houston to take on the 2-7 Texans, I’m going to be to be all over them covering the 1.5 points by which they’re favored.
The Pats haven’t been great against the spread this season, posting a 4-5 mark so far, but Houston’s 2-7 record ATS is the second worst in the entire NFL.
Not only do I like the Patriots come Sunday, but I’m also backing under the total of 48. If we just take a look at how many points these teams average, the Texans put up 22.2 points per game, good for 25th in the league. Meanwhile, New England scores 21 points per game, which ranks 27th.
Houston has a lot of talent on the offensive side of the ball. Deshaun Watson is still one of the best young quarterbacks in football, and Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks are both dynamic weapons with the ball in their hands. The issue has been consistency and, unfortunately, coaching.
The Texans put up just seven points last week, albeit in tough conditions, and there is too much scoring power on that offesne to disappoint so heavily.
For New England, they’re coming off their best win of the season, a 23-17 win over the Ravens on Sunday Night Football.
Quarterback Cam Newton didn’t put up eye-popping numbers, but he didn’t have to. I like the Patriots to continue their winning ways while the Texans struggle on offense.
NFL Expert Picks
Patriots -1.5 @ -110
Under 48 @ -110
NFL Free Picks
Week 11 sees us entering the business end of the season. Thursday Night Football is a divisional clash between the Cardinals and Seahawks and two MVP contendeners in Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray. With nine teams currently sat on 6-3 records we are likely to see teams begin to seperate themselves from the pack this week. The Titans trip to trip to Baltimore to the Ravens is a big game and one which is sure to feature a lot of rushing, elsewhere on Sunday we'll be keeping an eye on the Saints to see how Jameis Winston does as he steps into Drew Brees' spot because of injury. Sunday Night Football sees the Chiefs face the Raiders, looking for revenge after suffering defeat against Jon Gruden's teams earlier in the season. Monday Night Football rounds off the week as we see the Rams face the Bucs in an intriguing primetime clash.
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