4-Leg Parlay @ +1315 - $50 to win $657
NFL Expert Picks
Leg 1: Chargers +5.5 @ +100
This may be because I’m a massive Justin Herbert fan, but not only do I think the Chargers can cover, I think they may win. Fresh off their win over the Jets last week, I think the Chargers will move the ball with relative ease on Sunday.
The Bills have given up an average of 29 points per game in their last three contests. Meanwhile, Herbert is exceeding even his highest expectations. He has 22 touchdowns and just six interception in his rookie year. The Chargers have hung around in every single game that Herbert has started, and that will continue in Week 12.
Leg 2: Las Vegas Raiders -3 @ -104
The Raiders have impressed week after week and the Falcons continue to fall flat every time they take the field. I get that Las Vegas is traveling across the country, but they are a far better team than the Falcons and should win easily.
Derek Carr, in his seventh year in the league, seems to have turned the corner and become a good NFL quarterback. He’s been sensational this year. He’s fourth in QBR (78.8) while throwing for 19 touchdowns and just three interceptions. The Falcons stink, as they showed in their 15-point loss to the Taysom Hill-led Saints. I’m on the Raiders.
Leg 3: Browns -6 @ -118
If you give me the opportunity to bet against Mike Glennon in the year 2020, I’m going to take it and not ask any questions. The Browns are not a perfect team. Baker Mayfield has been inaccurate and the pass game has struggled as a result. But, I’m not entirely sure the Jaguars will even score a touchdown.
Cleveland’s pass rush has been great lately, and I expect them to pressure Glennon into multiple turnovers and a lopsided loss.
Leg 4: Chiefs -3.5 @ -105
I don’t entirely understand this line. Tampa has been bad, and Kansas City has been probably the best team in the NFL. Tom Brady, whether it’s age or a lack of familiarity with his teammates, has looked bad since their win over Green Bay.
If you’re going to beat the Chiefs, you have to be able score points, which is something Tampa Bay has failed to do with much consistency. Something like 34-24 sounds about right to me here. No one can hang with the Chiefs right now, including the unbeaten Steelers, and I’ll continue to trust Patrick Mahomes with my money.