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Picks from NFL expert Brian Good for this week's game between the Saints and Falcons

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Bet: New Orleans Saints -3 @ +100

  • The Saints are averaging 27.5 points per game since Taysom Hill took over at QB

I absolutely refuse to let Atlanta’s complete thrashing of a good Las Vegas team in Week 12 change my opinion about the Falcons and how I’ll bet this game. The Falcons are a bad football team. They’ve proven that throughout the season and one game isn’t going to change that, so I’m taking the Saints, even with Taysom Hill at QB.

Just two weeks ago, this same Saints team ripped the Falcons apart on their way to a 24-9 win at home. Now, just 14 days later, they’re only favored by three? I’ll take that.

With Taysom Hill under center for the Saints, they’re definitely a different team than when Drew Brees is taking snaps. But they’ve proven in both weeks since his injury that the offense can still function.

They average 27.5 points per game with Hill as a starter, and the defense has played well. You can’t out much into the fact that they held the Broncos to three points, seeing as their starting QB was a practice squad WR, but they picked off Matt Ryan twice the week before and held Todd Gurley to just 26 yards on 8 carries.

New Orleans is 6-5 against the spread this season, but 2-0 since Hill took over.

As for the Falcons, They’re playing better of late, winning three of their last four games, but I refuse to trust them in a big spot. If they win this game, they throw themseleves right back into the playoff discussion, which is why I expect them to disappoint.

The Saints have won 6 of last 7 games in this rivalry, dating back to 2017, and all six wins have come by more than three points.

I understand why some may be hesitant to lay the points on Taysom Hill on the road, but he’s proven he’s good enough to get the job done for New Orleans.

NFL Expert Picks

Saints -3 @ +100

NFL Free Picks

We don't have a Thursday Night Football clash this week due to the rescheduled Ravens and Steelers game that took place at the end of Week 12. Week 13 sees a number of divisional clashes with the Saints and Falcons, Colts and Texans, and Rams and Cardinals meeting on Sunday. Sunday Night Football sees the Broncos face the Chiefs in a divisional clash on primetime. On Monday we'll get two games with the Washington Football Team's trip to Pittsburgh televised ahead of the Bills vs. 49ers meeting on Monday Night Football. We get bonus football again on Tuesday with the Ravens welcoming the Cowboys to M&T Bank Stadium.

Our talented stable of handicappers, led by Ben Gretch, Davis Mattek, Alex Kirshner, Richard Johnson, Ben Rolfe and more brings complete written and video NFL analysis to our users week after week. Make sure you check the site daily for picks from them all.

Article Author


Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.


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