Lamar Jackson over 185.5 Passing Yards @ -110
I know Lamar Jackson hasn’t looked great this year. I know the Ravens have struggled to move the ball through the air. But, Dallas’ defense is really bad, and Jackson’s total passing yard prop being so low makes it almost impossible for me to lay off.
Jackson has only thrown for fewer than 186 yards three times this season. Meanwhile, Dallas gives up 232.2 passing yards per game on the road. I don’t expect a 300-yard performance from the former MVP, but I expect him to throw the ball with ease tonight.
Baltimore D/ST Anytime TD Scorer @ +420
Dallas’ offense is just bad. Yes, they’re missing Dak Prescott, which is obviously a massive blow to the team. But their offensive line is also going to be without two more starters tonight with Zach Martin and Cameron Erving out, and Ezekiel Elliott is in the midst of the worst season of his career.
As for the Baltimore defense, they average 1.5 takeaways per game and I think they’re going to get a few tonight with the chance to run a pick or two back for six. Andy Dalton looked horrible on Thanksgiving in the lopsided loss to Washington, and even threw a pick 6. Why would we expect anything different against an even better defense?
Away Team Over 1 First Half Field Goal @ +142
This one is a bit out of the box, but here is my thought process. I don’t expect Dallas to score even one touchdown tonight. They’re a mess on offense and the Ravens are extremely good defensively.
But, Dallas has talent on offense and should be able to move the ball at least a little through the air with CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper on the outside.
Looking back, Dallas has made at least one first half field goal in seven straight games and has made at least two in the first half in four straight. I’m going to take the better-than-even odds on something they’ve done quite frequently recently.