Davante Adams Under 87.5 Yards Receiving @ -106
I don’t like betting on one of the best WR in football to go under his total yards prop, but I think this one hits tonight.
Davante Adams has gone over 100 yards receiving in a game six times this year and he’s only followed it up at least 80 yards in the next game once. Unfortunately, the one time it happened was in Green Bay’s last two games, but I’m betting he won’t have a third big game in a row.
Usually, after Adams goes off, the next team they play decides to overcompensate to lock him down and another one of Green Bay’s receivers or backs goes off.
Last week, Adams was targeted 10 times, made 7 catches and finished with 115 yards and a touchdown. I expect him to have a down week this week, as he has in the past after going off. Look for guys like Marquez Valdes-Scantling or Aaron Jones to have big performances.
Aaron Jones Over 61.5 Yards Rushing @ -134
Admittedly, the price isn’t great here. But, I just mentioned I think Jones is going to have a big game tonight and 62 yards could be close to hitting at half, so I’ll pay the price for a bet I think is can’t miss.
Jones is averaging 5.1 yards per carry this season and has rushed for over 68 yards in three straight games. Since the loss to Indianapolis earlier this year, the Packers’ run game has taken off and I think it continues to stay hot tonight. The Panthers allow 113.6 rush yards per game, which is middle of the pack, but that’s plenty to get over his yards prop.
The current streak Jones is on makes this a no brainer for me.
DJ Moore Anytime TD Scorer @ +163
Moore is returning to the Carolina lineup after missing last week’s loss to the Broncos. Both Moore and Robby Anderson are in the middle of huge seasons, but Moore leads the team in receiving touchdowns with four on the year.
Green Bay allows 1.7 passing touchdowns per game, 17th in the NFL. If Teddy Bridgewater is going to throw two touchdowns, I love the chances of one of them going to DJ Moore.
With Moore back in the lineup, I look for his QB and offensive coordinator to try and get him the ball early and often. I like him to get into the end zone at +163.