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Ben Rolfe breaks down his prop picks for Sunday's Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints Prop Bets And Predictions

Look for both passing games to feature heavily

This is a matchup between two of the best run defenses, so we should see plenty from the QBs. Tom Brady has thrown for over 300 yards in each of his last four, and five of the last six. The Saints have played Brady well this season, but the Buccaneers will be at full strength. Additionally, backing Brady to be able to unlock a defense after seeing them twice already seems like a smart play.

1u – Tom Brady over 305.5 passing yards @ -110

Brady has additionally scored 12 passing touchdowns over the past four seasons. In two of those games, he has scored four touchdowns. The Saints have allowed just 11 rushing touchdowns this season so look for Brady to have to score through the air.

1u – Tom Brady over 2.5 passing touchdowns @ +150

Alvin Kamara has managed just 56 total rushing yards on 21 attempts this season when facing the Buccaneers. The Buccaneers allow an average of just 62.8 yards per game and 3.5 yards per attempt. Kamara is projected to have 60.5 rushing yards in this game. Based on his performances so far this season, the under is the smart play here.

1u – Alvin Kamara under 60.5 rushing yards

Could Drew Brees throw an interception in this game?

Brees has just six interceptions this season, but he is facing a Buccaneers team which has 15 interceptions on the season. The Buccaneers defense should be able to get pressure on Brees and at +138 there are favourable odds for Brees to throw a touchdown in this game.

1u – Drew Brees over 0.5 interceptions @ +138

What are some longer odds plays to consider this week?

If you are looking for some longer shot plays on the anytime touchdown market, Tom Brady (+600) and Drew Brees (+700) are masters of the short touchdown.

NFL Expert Picks

1u – Tom Brady over 305.5 passing yards @ -110

1u – Tom Brady over 2.5 passing touchdowns @ +150

1u – Alvin Kamara under 60.5 rushing yards

1u – Drew Brees over 0.5 interceptions @ +138

1u – Tom Brady Anytime TD Scorer @ +600

1u – Drew Brees Anytime TD Scorer @ +700

NFL Free Picks

We're really getting to the business end of the season as this weekend throws up the Divisional Round, which sees the best 8 teams in the NFL face off. Saturday sees Aaron Rodgers welcome the Rams and their incredible defense to Lambeau after they kept Russell Wilson in check last week. Next up is the Ravens @ Bills, as the league's best ground game faces one of the best passing attacks in football. Sunday sees the biggest spread of the round as the underdog Browns face the Chiefs at Arrowhead. The final game of the round sees divisional rivals, the Saints and Buccaneers, meet for the third time this season. Can Tom Brady and Tampa Bay get their first win when it matters? We'll find out.

Our talented stable of handicappers, led by Ben Gretch, Davis Mattek, Alex Kirshner, Richard Johnson, Ben Rolfe and more brings complete written and video NFL analysis to our users week after week. Make sure you check the site daily for picks from them all.

Article Author


Ben is a football guru with years of experience covering the NFL. You can always count on Ben to pick a winner on Sunday!


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