One of the absolute best things about FanDuel has been the addition of the Same Game Parlay. The Same Game Parlay allows users to parlay game bets, like spread, moneyline and total, with player and game props from one game.
There are three bets for the Divisional Round game between Tampa and New Orleans that I have my eyes on, and I’m going to take advantage of FanDuel’s generosity and package them in a 3-leg parlay to try and win big.
3-Leg Parlay @ +564 - $50 Bet Wins $282
Leg 1: Tampa Bay ML @ +128
There are a couple of reasons I’m going with the Buccaneers here. First and foremost is I truly believe that right now, they’re the better team. The Saints have beaten them twice this season, but both these teams are in much different places than they were last time they met.
Drew Brees is still trying to get right following his rib injury earlier in the year that forced him to miss a few games. Gone are the years where Brees would shred defences for 450 yards and 4 TDs as the Saints ran away with the game. This team is much more reliant on Alvin Kamara and the run game. Unfortunately for the Saints, the Bucs are the best team in the entire NFL against the run. I just don’t think Brees will be able to keep up with Tampa, and no one has ever gotten rich betting against Tom Brady in the playoffs. Give me the underdogs.
Leg 2: Under 52.5 @ -105
Like I said, this Saints offense is not what we’re used to seeing with Brees under Sean Payton. In their last six games, they’ve broken 30 points just one time. Last week, against a tough Bears defense, they barely managed to get in the end zone three times. They had seven points at halftime and the offense struggled to find much rhythm.
I expect a tough battle in this one, not a shootout. Taysom Hill is out, which means the Bucs don’t have to prepare for the Wildcat wrinkle. The only thing that really scares me here is how good the TB offense is. But, the Saints have one of the best defenses in the NFL and I think they can keep it close in a low-scoring matchup.
Leg 3: Drew Brees Under 275.5 Passing Yards @ -112
Like I said earlier, this isn’t the same Drew Brees we’re used to seeing throughout his career. He can’t get the ball down the field like he used to. Instead, he has relied on screens and underneath routes to pick up chunks of yards.
Since Brees has returned from injury, he’s broken 275 yards passing just once. I am a little worried that the Bucs will shut down the run game and force the Saints to air it out, but I’m still not confident enough in Brees to light it up at age 42.