One of the absolute best things about FanDuel has been the addition of the Same Game Parlay. The Same Game Parlay allows users to parlay game bets, like spread, moneyline and total, with player and game props from one game.
There are three bets for the NFC Championship Game between Tampa and Green Bay that I have my eyes on, and I’m going to take advantage of FanDuel’s generosity and package them in a 3-leg parlay to try and win big.
3-leg Parlay @ +677 - $50 Wager Wins $338
Leg 1: Green Bay Packers -3 @ -130
This price is admittedly not great. I flirted with tacking on a half point and getting it at better-than-even odds, but I ended up deciding I’d be willing to take the worse odds in order to end up on the right side of 3.
I like both these teams. I think they’re far and away the two best teams the NFC has to offer. They can both score in bunches. Tampa has the better defense, but Green Bay’s offense has been sharper. This comes down to two things for me. First, Green Bay will be at home, and second, Aaron Rodgers is the best player in the NFL right now.
I can’t bet against the MVP with the season on the line, at home, when a field goal win gets you your money back. In the past, I’d have put all my money on Brady to clutch up in the Conference Championship Game, but Rodgers is the superior player right now, so I’m riding with the Pack.
Leg 2: Over 51.5 @ -114
There’s snow in the forecast, it’s going to be a sloppy, cold game but I’m still expecting a lot of points come Sunday. If there’s no snow, we’ll get two of the game’s best QBs airing it out for four quarters. Both teams scored at least 30 points last week, against much tougher defences than they’ll face this time around.
If it does snow, and these teams are limited with what they can do in the air, both of them run the ball extremely effectively. Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones combined for 125 yards rushing last week against one of the best run defenses in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Packers ran for 188 yards as a team on the Rams. The weather will end up being a moot point here because both these teams can score in a variety of ways. I’m predicting a lot of points.
Leg 3: Leonard Fournette Anytime TD Scorer @ +135
This kind of goes back to my point about Tampa’s run game being good enough to take over games if needed. If there is snow on the ground, expect Arians to lean heavily on Fournette (and Ronald Jones) in the run game.
Fournette has scored four touchdowns in his last five games and has looked really good at the end of the year. I thought about Aaron Jones here, but the Packers’ backfield is far too crowded to predict goalline carries, between Jones, Jamaal Williams and AJ Dillon. I like Fournette to get in the end zone in a game that features a lot of points.