NFC Conference Championship Picks: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Props

Ben Rolfe breaks down his prop picks for Sunday's Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers game
Ben Rolfe
Sat, January 23, 5:59 AM EST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Prop Bets And Predictions

The Packers may need to lean on Rodgers arm

No defense allowed fewer rushing yards to the RB position this season than the Buccaneers. Opponents averaged just 60 rushing yards per game during the regular season. In the last five weeks, the Buccaneers have allowed an average of 85.4 rushing yards per game.

Against the Rams last week, Rodgers threw for 296 yards, despite the Packers run game finding success. This week look for Rodgers to have to go above and beyond to lead his team to the Super Bowl. With the wind expected to be low in Lambeau on Sunday, the passing games of these two teams could dominate.

1u - Aaron Rodgers over 279.5 passing yards @ -120

Tom Brady has struggled with his accuracy the past two weeks

Brady has completed less than 55% of his passes in the last two weeks. He has thrown 73 passes but completed just 40 of them. This week he faces a Packers defense which allowed an average of just 21.6 completions per game. Brady’s pass completion number is set as 24.5 this week. That is a number he has failed to hit in four of the past six weeks.

1u – Tom Brady under 24.5 pass completions @ -110

Does Robert Tonyan present value to find the end zone this week?

After Davante Adams (-182) and Aaron Jones (+115), Tonyan has scored the most touchdowns for the Packers this season. The third-year tight end has 11 targets on the season, six of which came in the last eight weeks. Tonyan has 11 red zone targets for the Packers, the second most on the team. He has caught 10 of those for seven touchdowns.

The Buccaneers also allowed nine touchdowns to the tight end position in the regular season. They have been vulnerable to the position at times this year and Tonyan could take advantage this week.

1u - Robert Tonyan anytime touchdown @ +150

Which options present value at longer odds?

Aaron Rodgers (+550) scored a rushing touchdown last week, his third in five weeks. Tom Brady (+600) also scored last week. Brady is extremely likely to attempt a QB sneak if the Buccaneers get down close to the goal line.

1u – Aaron Rodgers anytime touchdown @ +550

1u – Tom Brady anytime touchdown @ +600

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1u - Aaron Rodgers over 279.5 passing yards @ -120

1u – Tom Brady under 24.5 pass completions @ -110

1u - Robert Tonyan anytime touchdown @ +150

1u – Aaron Rodgers anytime touchdown @ +550

1u – Tom Brady anytime touchdown @ +600

NFL Free Picks

Things are really heating up in the NFL and this Sunday sees the two Conference Championship Games. First up the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers hosting Tom Brady's Buccaneers at Lambeau. Tom Brady is no stranger to cold weather and he'll need to count on that experience in order to win here as he hunts for a 7th ring. The second game of the day sees the Buffalo Bills on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes' injury status has been the big story all week, but perhaps it could be his toe injury which has the biggest impact.

Our talented stable of handicappers, led by Ben Gretch, Davis Mattek, Alex Kirshner, Richard Johnson, Ben Rolfe and more brings complete written and video NFL analysis to our users week after week. Make sure you check the site daily for picks from them all.

Ben Rolfe
@benrolfe15
Ben is a football guru with years of experience covering the NFL. You can always count on Ben to pick a winner on Sunday!
Nov 2020
Record
Wins
3
Losses
3
Push
0
ROI
-4.55%
0Betslip

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