2021 Super Bowl Predictions: First Touchdown Scorer Prop Picks

Looking at the best value in the first touchdown scorer market for Super Bowl LV
Samuel Farley
Wed, January 27, 4:11 PM

Super Bowl LV is just around the corner now and everything is building toward the biggest game in football. There's so much to look forward to on OddsChecker including a variety of picks on the prop markets, in addition to the traditional markets. In this article we're looking at the best value in the First Touchdown scorer market.

Super Bowl LV First Touchdown Scorer Prop Picks

Darrell Williams @ +1600

Against the Bills we saw Darrell Williams out-touch Clyde Edwards-Helaire at 2:1 and I'd expect that to continue in the Super Bowl, particuarly in the red zone. Every since that first game of the season, in which CEH struggled on the goal line, we've seen the Chiefs avoid using him in those positions. That to me really boosts the value on two other players. The first of which is Darrell Williams. I'm not convined that he's a great back but when you're a couple of yards out, the team could look to him to pound the rock over the line. At 16/1 to open the scoring he offer real value.

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2021 Super Bowl First Touchdown Scorer Picks

Antonio Brown @ +1875

I was incredibly close to selecting Cameron Brate here, at +2200 he could offer value given that the Chiefs aren't elite at defending against tightends, but ultimately I decided to go for AB. Brown's arrival in Florida was very much down to Tom Brady who really campaigned the hierachy to sign his man. Brown has repaid Brady's trust, keeping quiet and staying out of trouble while also delivering on the field.

It's expected that AB will be fit enough to play and if he does then I can see this price shortening. He missed last week's Conference Championship game with an injury but in the 5 games before that he'd scored 5 touchdowns and looks like an option in the red zone, where AB seems to be able to use his feet to find space, with the opposition's #1 cornerback often shadowing Mike Evans.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prop Picks

Patrick Mahomes @ +2200

The second player who could be a beneficary of the Chief's lack of trust in CEH is Patrick Mahomes. With their love of the RPO there's every chance we could see Mahomes pull of a run into the endzone. He has form too, we've seen Mahomes burst into the endzone many times, including last year's Super Bowl in which Mahomes opened the scoring with a 1-yard rush. At 22/1 this looks like another value play.

NFL Free Picks

The Super Bowl is finally here! 32 teams started out the season with hopes of playing for the Lombardi Trophy come February 7, but just two teams are still alive. Last year’s champs, the Kansas City Chiefs, disposed of the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game, booking another trip to the title game this year. In the NFC, 43-year old Tom Brady is making his first Super Bowl appearance on a team other than the New England Patriots after Tampa upset the Green Bay Packers. It’s the NFL’s dream matchup, as the GOAT makes one last stand against the player best suited to knock him off of his throne. Patrick Mahomes vs. Tom Brady, Buccaneers vs. Chiefs… we’re in for a treat.

Our talented stable of handicappers, led by Ben Gretch, Davis Mattek, Alex Kirshner, Richard Johnson, Ben Rolfe and more brings complete written and video NFL analysis to our users week after week. Make sure you check the site daily for picks from them all.

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Jan 2021
Record
Wins
8
Losses
7
Push
0
ROI
6.1%
0Betslip

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