Browns vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks: Sticking to Player Props
Browns vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks: Sticking to Player Props
Sunday’s Chiefs vs. Browns game is one of the best on the docket. Two AFC teams with hopes of finishing atop the conference and making a run at a Super Bowl. However, it also features one of the largest spreads of the week. The Chiefs started as 6-point favorites, but that’s down to 5.5 points in most places now.
I’ve decided that this is one game that lends itself nicely to a Same Game Parlay as there are a lot of big names that are likely to go off. So, in order to make sure I’m taking advantage of all of them, I’m using a Same Game Parlay for Browns vs. Chiefs.
Read on to see which bets I’m adding to my Same Game Parlay picks for Sunday.
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Browns vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks
3-Leg Same Game Parlay @ +639 - $50 wager wins $319.58
Same Game Parlay Leg 1: Jarvis Landry Anytime TD Scorer @ +175
Same Game Parlay Leg 2: Jarvis Landry Over 57.5 Receiving Yards @ -110
As a disclaimer, I am staying completely away from betting on this game’s outcome for a couple reason. The first reason is it’s Week 1 and I don’t really know how good the Browns are. They have talent, but Baker Mayfield is a bit of a wild card, so the spread, moneyline and total.
I know both Justis Mosqueda and Nate Tice talked about how they like the Browns to cover six points this weekend on the Beat The Odds NFL show, but I just can’t get there. I know the Chiefs were bad ATS last season, I’m just not going to try and make a living off betting against the best QB in the NFL.
Instead, I’m loading up on player props for this Same Game Parlay.
I’m starting with a pair of Jarvis Landry props. Did Jarvis Landry go over this receiving yards number just five times last season? Sure did. But I like this for two reason. First, Odell Beckham Jr. is listed as a true gametime decision. Even if he plays, he won’t be 100% and the Browns will be forced to rely on Landry heavily.
The second reason I like this total to go over is because if the Browns want to hang with the Chiefs they aren’t going to be able to just run the ball all game, like they want to. The Chiefs are going to score points. Baker Mayfield is going to have to air the ball out and I think Landry is the perfect security blanket for him. Double-digit targets for Jarvis Landry should lead to a big afternoon.
Same Game Parlay Leg 3: Clyde Edwards-Helaire Over 49.5 Yards Rushing @ -110
This total seems low for me, but at the same time I get it. Andy Reid loves to play a backfield by committee, Jerick McKinnon is with KC now and there is some doubt here. But, does anyone remember what CEH did in Week 1 last season.
Here’s the thing. The Chiefs took Edwards-Helaire in the first round last year. They plan on featuring him as their back for at least the next 4-5 years. I think we see a huge uptick in workload for the former LSU running back.
When healthy, CEH is already one of the best RBs in the NFL. Cleveland’s defense was decent against the run last season, finishing ninth in the NFL, but they still allowed over 108 yards per game on the ground. We just need 50 from Edwards-Helaire.
Browns vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay
Same Game Parlay Leg 1: Jarvis Landry Anytime TD Scorer @ +175
Same Game Parlay Leg 2: Jarvis Landry Over 57.5 Receiving Yards @ -110
Same Game Parlay Leg 3: Clyde Edwards-Helaire Over 49.5 Yards Rushing @ -110