Raiders vs. Ravens Same-Game Parlay Picks: It's All About Baltimore
The injury bug has come for the Baltimore Ravens, who lost J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards, and Marcus Peters for the season. Their opening night matchup is on the road in Las Vegas as they’ll be taking on the Raiders in Week 1.
Last year, the Ravens finished 11-5, clinched a Wild Card berth, and won their playoff matchup against Tennessee before bowing out to the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional round. Now, their expectation is to build off of that and make a deeper run.
As for the Raiders, they were 8-8 and are looking to build off of that and take the next step. On defense, they added Yannick Ngakoue and Casey Hayword as well as Solomon Thomas from the 49ers.
For this Monday Night Football matchup, we’ll be going through a same-game parlay for you that has three legs to it.
The first thing we have to worry about is the half in this parlay. Last season, the Ravens averaged 15.4 points in the first half, which was tied for fifth-best in the NFL along with the Bills. Looking at Las Vegas, they were slightly behind, coming in at 13.2, which was 14th in the league.
The margin between the two is 2.2, so I’m using the 2.5 number for the first half. The assumption is that the Ravens will try to control the time of possession. With the Raiders giving up the 23rd-most rushing yards per game against, this could play into Baltimore’s favor.
Part two to this play is the Ravens' point total. Baltimore finished last year averaging 27.3 points per game, which was good enough for ninth-most in football. That was actually down from 31.9 in 2019, which was first in football that year.
Even with the new additions on defense for the Raiders, they will likely still struggle. Casey Heyward Jr. is 32 years old now and he took a big step back last year from his normal production. On the other side, they’ll be starting Trayvon Mullen, who really struggled in year two last year.
If Lamar Jackson is even just his average self, he should be able to hit 27 points in his sleep. I’ll add the Ravens over 26.5 on the game for the second leg of this one.
Our third and final piece to the puzzle is getting the Ravens to cover the 4.5-point spread. To help ease our minds, Baltimore was the third-best team in the league against the spread (ATS) last year, and since the start of 2019, the Ravens have covered 60% of the time.
As for the Raiders, go figure an 8-8 team on the season was 4-4 ATS as a home team and 3-3 as a home underdog. It’s a coin flip, but with the Ravens’ success ATS, they get the edge in my book.
The Ravens -2.5 at the half, -4.5 on the game, and over 26.5 get you +195 odds on DraftKings. At the end of the day, it comes down to if John Harbaugh can outcoach Jon Gruden, which at this point, it should be a fairly safe bet to imagine that he can do just that.
- Ravens -2.5 at the half
- Ravens -4.5 on the game
- Ravens over 26.5