Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals Week 2 Predictions: Against the Spread, Total, and Props
The Chicago Bears host the Cincinnati Bengals this Sunday in Week 2 at home from Soldier Field. The Bears got smacked around by the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 on primetime Sunday Night, losing that game 34-14. The Bengals come into Week 2 off the back of an overtime victory over the Bears NFC North divisional foes Minnesota Vikings. Granted overtime could have been avoided if the Bengals held on to a 10 point lead in the 4th quarter. Bengals Quarterback Joe Burrow takes on his predecessor Andy Dalton this Sunday in a Week 2 showdown and here's the breakdown of the game.
Chicago Bears Preview
The Bears were trounced on Sunday night granted they faced the Rams who are currently the second favorite to reach the Super Bowl in the NFC. The Bears opened as 3 point favorites this week even after the loss. The Bears secondary was picked apart by new Rams Quarterback Matthew Stafford.
Chicago's defense has ranked no lower than 12th in points and yardage allowed during each of the past three seasons but fell just outside the top 10 in both in 2020. Forcing turnovers and sacks have been issues, as the Bears have finished in the bottom half of the league in both categories each of the past two seasons. Two-thirds of their Cornerbacks left during the offseason (Kyle Fuller, Buster Skrine), with Desmond Trufant the only veteran replacement. Khalil Mack, Eddie Jackson, Roquan Smith, Akiem Hicks and 2020 opt-out Eddie Goldman supply this unit with a good core, but the Bears' days as an elite defense appear to be over. Concerns over Chicago's secondary are now being recognized. The Bears allowed the 8th most passing yards in Week 1 and the Bengals don't provide an easier challenge for them in Week 2.
Andy Dalton turned the ball over twice in the first quarter against the Rams and couldn’t get much going. David Montgomery was a bright spot with over 100 rushing yards while Justin Fields scored on a three-yard run as a situational quarterback. Many people are already calling for the rookie to start but I have a feeling Dalton will be able to move the ball on this Cincinnati defense.
Cincinnati Bengals Preview
For how bad I've already trashed the Bear secondary the Bengals were actually worse in Week 1 against the Vikings. They allowed 22 catches, 250 yards, and 2 touchdowns to Vikings wide receivers. The best Bengals corner is Trae Waynes and he's currently sidelined. I expect the Red-Rifle Andy Dalton to make some good passes and try his hardest for his revenge against his former team.
The Bengals come into this game as the underdog despite winning in week 1. Joe Burrow returned from a torn ACL that cut his rookie year short and threw for 261 yards and two touchdowns. Rookie first-round pick Ja’Marr Chase got over his preseason drop issues to haul in one of those scores on a 50-yard deep ball, and Joe Mixon topped 100 rushing yards in-game for the first time since last October. Mixon paced the entire NFL with 33 total touches.
Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction
In Week 1's OddscheckerUS Staff Upset Pick of the Week column I went with the Bengals on the upset. That pick ended up turning out well despite the 4th quarter and overtime sweat. This week I'm going to go back to the well! I believe in this Bengals team more than most. Everyone knows this offense is flat-out explosive and seeing what the Rams did to this Bears defense I think the Bengals can repeat something similar on Sunday. I'm going to be greedy and not take the points here. The weather should be 80 degrees and sunny with a chance of Bengals Wide Receivers going off again.
I like this game to go over the point total as well because I think the Bears will be able to put points on the board and run with Cincinnati. Both teams allowed 34 and 24 points in Week 1 respectively. Each team ranked 8th or worse in all of Week 1 defensive metrics against Wide Receivers. Both secondaries struggled mightily in Week 1 and in turn, this game should be sneaky when it comes to points and betting Overs on player props.
I have a few player props I love for this game as well. My favorite is Allen Robinson over his total catches. Currently, I'm seeing the number at 5.5 at a couple of books but it's heavily juiced at (-145). I personally will be waiting for this line to move to 6.5 and still bet the Over but that will be at plus money. Robinson was 14th of all pass catchers in total targets in Week 1 with 11. I expect more of the same in a game that the Bears will once again need to pass to keep up with their opponent.
Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals Picks
Favorite Player Prop: Allen Robinson Over Catch Total
Lean: Over 45 (-110)