Monkey Knife Fight Week 2 NFL Prop Picks: More or Less and Rapid Fire

In Week 2, Matt O'Leary is back with his Monkey Knife Fight picks of the week for the NFL.
Matt O'Leary
Fri, September 17, 7:29 AM EDT

Monkey Knife Fight Week 2 NFL Prop Picks: More or Less and Rapid Fire

In Week 1, we had some surprises and some disappointing performances (looking at you Aaron Rodgers). Hopefully, in Week 2, there are some bounce backs and with the Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks, we can get back in on the action.

More or Less - 1 PM Slate

For the two quarterbacks, we have Matthew Stafford and Josh Allen. For Stafford, he’s coming off of an impressive performance against Chicago on Sunday Night Football. In that game, he threw for 321 and three touchdowns. With Sean McVay this year calling the plays for Stafford, I think that’s a common occurrence, take the over.

Josh Allen was shaky in his 2021 debut, throwing for 270 yards on 51 attempts (5.3 yards per attempt). While the Dolphins have a strong defense, it won’t be as good as what Pittsburgh's was in Week 1. I’m taking the over here as well.

Stefon Diggs had just 69 receiving yards in Buffalo’s Week 1 loss. It was a tough performance for the offense for Buffalo and uncharacteristic of this team. Last year, Diggs eclipsed the 88.5 mark 10 times and I fully expect him to get back to his ways this week.

Looking at Nick Chubb’s matchup against the Texans, it’s a favorable one for the running back. Houston let up the most rushing yards in the league last year and despite having an impressive showing in Week 1, they won’t be a consistent team in 2021.

Darren Waller at 6.5 receptions is easy money. He had 19 targets in the Raiders’ first game. 19! He may hit this over in the first half to be quite honest with you.

Rapid Fire - 4:00 PM slate

I can’t express enough how confident I am in Tom Brady and the Buccaneers absolutely dominating the Atlanta Falcons. Tom Brady with extra rest against that putrid defense? I’m all in on Brady beating out Dak on this one.

Keeping the theme of offensive players eating off bad defenses, I’m going with DeAndre Hopkins over Calvin Ridley. The Vikings corners leave a lot to be desired and with Kyler Murray looking the way he did in Week 1 against a much better Titans team, I expect a big week for Arizona.

I’m torn on the running back play because I see both teams playing from behind, but I guess with the bonus I’ll take Dalvin Cook. Seattle has a better run defense compared to Arizona and Dalvin was more productive than Henry in Week 1 anyway.

Sunday Night Football More or Less

For Tyreek Hill, I’m going with the under. I think it’s a big day for the offense against the Ravens but more often than not Hill is sitting at five or six catches. He hit seven or more just three times last year.

Ty’Son Williams is also getting the under treatment. 50 yards isn’t a big ask but the Ravens rushing attack was the most productive when Lamar Jackson was the one using his legs. I think they use him the most on the ground instead.

Three straight unders? Yep! I think with the injuries to the Ravens secondary the Chiefs will plan to throw the ball more so against this defense. Clyde Edwards-Helaire will still be utilized, just more so in the screen game than getting the ground game going.

Monday Night Football - Rapid Fire

Even with the 53.5 yard bump for Jared Goff, I don’t think he catches Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers was embarrassed in Week 1 but now, on their home turf, against likely the worst team in the NFC, watch out.

I like T.J. Hockenson a lot, he was great in Week 1 putting up 97 yards. While I think the Packers will have the better day offensively, the 34.5 bonus for Hockenson was too big to pass up. 

As for the running backs, how can you not take Aaron Jones? I know he was really bad in Week 1 but he seems like a prime candidate to bounce back in Week 2 and with D’Andre Swift nursing a groin, I’d stay away from him completely.

Matt O'Leary
MattOLearyNY
OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.
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