OddsChecker Staff Roundtable: Week 2 NFL Upset Picks
In Week 1, our staff's upset picks went 5-1. Among those were the Falcons at +160, the Texans at +160 (two experts made this pick), the Saints at +160, and the Bengals at +150. In other words, if you listened to us, you are a happy camper with some extra cash.
Of course, I'm throwing the word "us" around loosely, as your truly's was the only pick not to hit. That's what I get for putting my faith in the Jets. The freaking Jets.
Anyway...where were we? Ah, yes. 5-1. Let's focus on that.
In addition to an ever-growing abundance of top-notch content, our staff will be providing us with their favorite upset picks each week of the season.
Now, the word “upset” could mean many different things to many different people. But for the purpose of this piece, we’re focusing entirely on moneyline plays.
In other words, we’re picking surprise winners and losers. Let’s get to it!
Dallas Cowboys Over Los Angeles Chargers (+160)
The Chargers win one game and suddenly we're only giving the Cowboys 38.5% implied odds to beat them? I mean, this is essentially the same Chargers team that went 7-9 last year with a mere .500 record at home. And they'll be facing a Cowboys team that just went toe-to-toe with the reigning champs and dropped 451 yards and 29 points on what's supposed to be one of the league's best defenses. I'll gladly take Dallas at +160.
-- Elisha Twerski (@ElishaTwerski)
Seeing as Justin Herbert looked awesome versus a tough Washington defense, I'm scared of what might happen to this Cowboys defense. That being said, we know the Cowboys defense can go shot for shot with anyone and I'm not sold that the Chargers secondary is a finished product yet (outside of Derwin James, of course). If I have to take an underdog, I'll take the team with a top-five QB in a potential shootout.
-- Derrik Klassen (@QBKlass)
First, I want to shout out to the rest of the OddsChecker team for crushing our upset picks from Week 1. We went 5-1 collectively. So let's keep things rolling. For Week 1, I went with the Bengals, and although it was a sweat because of a fourth-quarter collapse, Joe Burrow and the boys pulled through for the overtime win. In my picks article this week for the Bears vs. Bengals, you'll see I'm on Cincy again to cash the upset. For some reason though, I'm tempted to go somewhere else for my upset pick of the week. I'm going to back the Dallas Cowboys to defeat the Chargers on the road here in Week 2 (+160). In my picks article for Chargers vs. Cowboys, you'll see I went with Dallas +3.5. If Dallas could keep up with Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl champs, they could certainly keep up with the Chargers. I think the Chargers win over Washington in Week 1 has them overvalued here, and we're going to take full advantage of that.
-- Tom Viera (@Tom_Viera)
New York Jets Over New England Patriots (+215)
I don’t love a lot of underdogs outright this week but what I will tell you is that of the underdogs I do like, the Jets have the best chance of winning. I know, I know, Bill Belicheck is 20-6 all-time against rookie quarterbacks, but two of those six that have beaten him were Jets passers (Mark Sanchez and Geno Smith).
This will be a low-scoring game, and closer than most people think. If the Jets can get Mac Jones to make a mistake, I think we’re looking at like a 20-17 kind of game.
-- Matt O’Leary (@MattOLearyNY)
Carolina Panthers Over New Orleans Saints (+155)
Give me the Panthers to end the Saints' nine-game road winning streak against NFC South opponents.
While Drew Brees was unflappable in most games on the road as the Saints' quarterback, we are betting on Carolina's defense to bring Jameis Winston down to earth after his five-touchdown Week 1 performance. New Orleans dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak among their coaching staff and other members of their organization this week, and that, combined with Hurricane Ida displacing them from home for the last couple of weeks, will start to have its effect. Seven key Saints popped up on the injury report, with cornerback Marshon Lattimore being the most significant possible inactive.
-- Mike Spector (@MikeSpector01)