Top Sunday Night Football Props to Bet: Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL fans will be waiting all day for this matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs. Even with the loss in Week 1, Baltimore is considered one of the best teams in the AFC, and for good reason.
They’ve finished with 10 wins or more each of the past three years and found themselves in the divisional round each of the past two years. While the team has yet to get over the hump in the playoffs, they’ve been one of the more consistent teams in the AFC since Lamar Jackson took over in 2018.
It’s just a matter of if the Ravens will be able to survive the number of injuries they’ve had so far at the start of the season. For the Chiefs, they’ve been in contention ever since they made the switch to Patrick Mahomes.
K.C. started off their season with a big win over the Cleveland Browns, who have one of the league’s best rosters. After representing the AFC each of the past two seasons, they have a real shot to make it three years in a row for Andy Reid and company.
Can this be a potential playoff game in a few months? All indications point to these two teams being good again in 2021, and one of these days NFL fans deserve a Patrick Mahomes vs Lamar Jackson playoff game.
The Chiefs are favored by 3.5 in this game, and the over/under is set at 54.5 but what about some prop bets to make you some money? Here are three plays that got my attention for this game:
Patrick Mahomes O 316.5 passing yards
21 times in his career, Patrick Mahomes has thrown for more than this number in a game. The 316.5 seems extremely high, and it is, but when you consider what the Chiefs are going to try to do it’s much more palatable.
In three career games against the Baltimore Ravens, Mahomes is 3-0 and he’s thrown for 377 yards, 374 yards, and 385 yards in those games. Clearly, the Chiefs' game plan in those games is to have Mahomes throw against the Ravens' secondary.
Before the season started they lost Marcus Peters and then in Week 1 nickel corner Chris Westry tore his lateral meniscus. So they’re already weaker in the secondary, and in Week 1 we saw Derek Carr throw for 435 yards against this defense.
With all due respect to Carr, he’s not in the same stratosphere as Patrick Mahomes. It might be another long night for this Ravens defense.
Lamar Jackson O 10.5 Rushing Attempts
Just last week, the best part of the Ravens offense was when Lamar Jackson ran with the ball. He had 12 attempts for 86 yards on the ground. It’s been well documented that the Ravens backfield has suffered a number of injuries and it wouldn’t be a shock to see Lamar outpace Ty’Son Williams and Latavius Murray again in Week 2.
In 24 of his 47 career starts (51.1 percent) Lamar Jackson has eclipsed the 10.5 number. When looking at his three games against the Chiefs, he went over that number just once back in his rookie season.
In the two games, he didn’t go over 10.5 attempts he had Mark Ingram go for 103 yards in one of the two. With the state of the backfield, I don’t anticipate the Ravens having that steady of a rusher outside of Jackson tonight.
Also, LT Ronnie Stanley could be out this week for Baltimore and if the Chiefs are able to get more pressure on Lamar when he drops back to pass, perhaps the rushing attempts go up as a result of him trying to escape the rush.
Chiefs Over 29.5 Points
In two of the three games against the Ravens in the Patrick Mahomes era, the Chiefs have eclipsed the 29.5 points mark. They did it in their first game scoring 33 points and in 10 of their games last year (including the playoffs) they did it as well.
As I already mentioned, the Ravens are decimated with injuries and we know what this Chiefs offense can do against a good team, let alone a banged-up one.
I just don’t see how this defense is going to be able to slow down Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce in their current state. If the Ravens are to win this game they’re going to have to do it in a shootout, and that means even more points for both sides.