Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Week 2 Same-Game Parlay Pick

After a tough loss in Week 1, can the Browns bounce back against the Texans in Week 2? Here's how bettors can approach the game with a three-leg same-game parlay.
Mike Spector
Sat, September 18, 6:28 PM EDT

Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Week 2 Same-Game Parlay Pick

The Cleveland Browns took Arrowhead Stadium by storm last week and had the back-to-back defending AFC champions on the ropes at halftime. However, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs stormed back from a 22-10 halftime deficit and handed the Browns a crushing Week 1 loss. Will the Browns pick themselves up and be motivated to secure a big win this week in front of the Dawg Pound? Or will a visit from the lowly Houston Texans force the Browns not to give them their full attention?

This week, many will still doubt the Houston Texans, even after their convincing 37-21 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Those doubters will declare there is no reason to get excited about the "upset," as Jacksonville was starting a rookie quarterback in his first road start, under the tutelage of a head coach that had never coached a professional game. However, one should not ignore that Texans quarterback Tyrod Taylor threw for a career-high 291 yards in the win. In addition, Ravens castoff Mark Ingram looked spry, handling 26 carries and finishing with 85 yards rushing and a touchdown.

Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski is likely preaching to his team that there are no such things as moral victories in the NFL. Cleveland did many good things, like rushing for 153 yards and outgaining the Chiefs 457-397 for the game. They took the leash off Baker Mayfield, as he had a career-high 11.5 yards per attempt, but it was also his first career 300-yard game without a passing touchdown. Cleveland's offense will not need to be as aggressive when facing Houston this week, which will likely lead to a more conservative game plan.

Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Same-Game Parlay Picks

3-Leg Same Game Parlay @ +208 - $50 wager wins $104.05

Same Game Parlay Leg 1: Houston Texans +14.5 (Alternate Spread) @ -140

Same Game Parlay Leg 2: Home Total Points (Cleveland Browns) Under 30.5 points @ -104

Same Game Parlay Leg 3: Houston Texans +3.5 (First Quarter Spread) @ -110

In the introduction to this article, we posed whether or not the Browns would be able to pick themselves up enough after a disappointing loss to take care of the Texans at home this week. The answer, based on our three-leg same-game parlay, is a resounding "no."

These three wagers are not solely based on Cleveland's lack of motivation when facing an inferior Houston team. While not much is expected of Houston this year, it is much easier for a football team to put in a hard week of preparation and practice following a season-opening win instead of a Week 1 loss. The Texans may be in for a long season, but Houston's players will come into Cleveland with belief and with confidence after defeating one of their biggest rivals.

The first leg of our parlay is an alternate spread bet, which "buys" two points from the original spread of +12.5. This hedges against Cleveland's potential to put forth a spirited effort but moves the line through the key number of 14 and even takes a 13-point victory out of the equation.

The second leg fits the theme of an unmotivated Browns team that will employ a more conservative game plan when facing Houston. While Cleveland's defense is likely to feed off the home crowd and turn in a spirited effort, their offense is likely to show up and expect to blow Houston's front four off the ball, opening up running lanes for Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Typically with an unmotivated team, it is their offense that suffers, not their defense. Head coach Kevin Stefanski attempted four fourth-down conversions against the Chiefs, as well as a two-point conversion when a defensive penalty after a touchdown moved them one yard closer to the endzone. Those decisions are almost second nature to head coaches when they feel they need to keep pace with a high-powered offense, but Houston's offense is anything but high-powered.

We are wagering on Cleveland to be flat from the get-go for the last leg of our parlay. The Texans jumped on the Jaguars 14-0 in the first quarter last week, scoring two touchdowns after an opening possession where they went three-and-out. We like that Houston started with the ball in that matchup, as that would help minimize Cleveland's possessions. But if the Browns sleepwalk through the game's first 15 minutes, Houston should be able to cover the +3.5 points.

Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Same-Game Parlay

Same Game Parlay Leg 1: Houston Texans +14.5 (Alternate Spread) @ -140

Same Game Parlay Leg 2: Home Total Points (Cleveland Browns) Under 30.5 points @ -104

Same Game Parlay Leg 3: Houston Texans +3.5 (First Quarter Spread) @ -110

Mike Spector
MikeSpector01
Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest
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