Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets Week 3 Predictions and Picks: Against the Spread, Total, and Props
Out of the gate, the Denver Broncos have been one of the surprise teams of the NFL as they currently sit at 2-0. Sure, they’ve beaten up on the New York Giants and Jacksonville Jaguars but two wins are two wins.
They’ve allowed just 26 points over two weeks and Teddy Bridgewater is top-10 in passing yards through two games. Vic Fangio has this team looking good with a winnable game on the slate for them in Week 3.
As for the New York Jets, they’re coming off of a rookie quarterback clunker. Zach Wilson threw four interceptions in their 25-6 loss to the New England Patriots on Sunday. The rest of the team looked improved but when you turn the ball over four times it’s very difficult to stay competitive in this league.
Will the Broncos win an easy one going away or do we see an improved Jets team on the road in Week 3?
New York Jets Preview
The Jets are a young team coached by a first-year head coach and a first-year play-caller on offense. They very much looked like an inexperienced team on Sunday when Bill Belicheck continued to do his thing against another rookie quarterback victim.
Still, 20 points through two games isn’t going to cut it. They’re currently 31st in points for after finishing bottom two in the league in that category under Adam Gase the previous two seasons.
To Robert Saleh’s credit, he’s getting a ton out of a young and inexperienced defense. Right now they’re 10th in points against and ninth in yards allowed. With a no-name cornerback group, that’s really impressive.
Will that be enough to keep them in this game though? Based on Denver’s first two weeks I’d say unlikely.
Denver Broncos Preview
Vic Fangio made a somewhat surprising decision to start Teddy Bridgewater over Drew Lock to start the season. So far through two games, Fangio looks like an absolute genius for that decision.
Bridgewater has averaged 296 yards per game with a career-high 8.5 yards per attempt. After holding down the fort in Carolina last year, he’s done a really good job of taking his game to the next level in this offense. Expect Noah Fant to be heavily involved in the offensive game plan this week as the team will still be without Jerry Jeudy and the Jets struggle to cover tight ends.
Von Miller has looked excellent in his return to play this year with three sacks already on the season. Look for him to have an impact with the Jets’ best offensive lineman, Mekhi Becton on the shelf.
Denver Broncos vs New York Jets Betting Preview
Since the start of last year, the Broncos are tied for the third-best record against the spread over that span covering 61.1 percent of the time. They’ve only been favored twice over that span but they are 2-0 as a favorite and they are 9-4 ATS in conference play.
As for the Jets, as a road underdog, they’re just 2-7 (22.2 percent) with an average margin of victory of -16.4. 10.5 is a big number, but the Jets have given us no reason to believe through two games that they’ll be able to keep it that close.
81 percent of the money is on the Broncos -10.5 and there’s nothing I can say to provide a rebuttal to why that shouldn’t be the case. Follow the money, the Broncos are a safe play at home this week.