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We asked the OddsChecker staff for their top bets for the Week 3 NFL slate. Here are their picks.
ANALYSIS

NFL Betting Picks: Our Staff's Top NFL Bets for Week 3

Ok, we're making progress.

After a 2-4 start in Week 1, our staff went 3-2 in Week 2. Not amazing, but still a heck of a lot better than the New York Jets.

That said, is faring better than the Jets really much of a goal? It's like feeling accomplished after your entire day's activity was waddling from your bed to the bathroom -- it's something, but it's also not. We'll aim much higher this week.

In addition to an ever-growing abundance of top-notch content, our staff will be providing us with their favorite overall plays each week of the season.

For this piece, our staff will be covering whatever bets they feel strongest about -- no limitations. Let’s get to it!

Denver Broncos -10.5 (-105)

Playing at Denver early in the year is always a struggle. Pile that on top of that a reckless rookie quarterback in Zach Wilson having to face a loaded Denver defense led by a mastermind defensive play-caller such as Vic Fangio, and you've got a matchup for the Jets offense that screams disaster potential. Maybe Wilson will not throw as many as four interceptions again, but this one won't be pretty for him.

-- Derrik Klassen (@QBKlass)

Latavius Murray to Score Anytime (+175)

Entering Week 3, we are 1-1 on our best bet. I'm going back to the touchdown scorers list, and this week the value is tremendous on one Latavius Murray. I hope you didn't already forget what Aaron Jones just did to the Detroit defense on Monday night. Ty'Son Williams is still the lead back, I get it, but Murray had nine rushes last week for 36 yards and a goal-to-go carry leading to a touchdown. Williams went 0 for 2 on his goal-to-go attempts. The Lions have now allowed six total touchdowns to the running back position in 2021—four to Jones last week and two in Week 1 to 49ers backs. Carrying over the fact the Lions were terrible in 2020, allowing a league-high 29 touchdowns to opposing running backs, the Ravens, a run-first team, and Murray, the quintessential goal-line back, should find the end zone. We're getting crazy value! Murray has scored in both Ravens games and expect that streak to extend to three straight.

-- Tom Viera (@Tom_Viera)

Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 (-103)

I am not sure there is a line that has "stunk" worse all year than how badly this one stinks. The 2-0 Cardinals take on the 0-2 Jaguars, the same Jaguars that have lost their first two games to the Texans and Broncos by 26 combined points. No offense to Houston or Denver, but those are not exactly two of the AFC's most feared teams. Meanwhile, Kyler Murray is everyone's darling through two games and is already attracting serious steam in the MVP conversation. Perhaps oddsmakers are worried about the Cardinals' cross-country flight and the fact that they are playing in the 1:00 PM ET time slot. Whatever the story is, this feels like oddsmakers know something here, and I am happy to side with them.

-- Mike Spector (@MikeSpector01)

Las Vegas Raiders -3.5 (-105)

Just win baby! That's all the Raiders have done so far through two games and they have a great chance to do it again in Week 3. Las Vegas is taking on the Miami Dolphins without Tua Tagovailoa, who fractured his ribs in Week 2. Jacoby Brissett will step in for Miami, but still going on the road and beating Vegas in their home building is a tough task. Give me Jon Gruden and his Raiders -3.5.

-- Matt O’Leary (@MattOLearyNY)

Daniel Jones 230+ Passing Yards and Over 24.5 Rushing Yards (+145) - DraftKings

The Atlanta Falcons don't have a very good secondary...or front seven...or defense, for that matter. Since the start of 2020, Atlanta has ceded an average of 303.2 passing yards and 22.7 rushing yards to quarterbacks per game. That's in addition to 2.3 passing scores. Meanwhile, Danny Dimes has tossed for 249 and 267 yards against the Broncos and Football Team, two of the better defenses in the league. For good measure, he's also added 27 and 95 rushing yards in those two contests, respectively. |It's worth noting, in seven career games against teams ranked bottom-10 in Defensive Passing DVOA, Jones has averaged 252.3 passing yards. If you're feeling a big rushing game from the Giants' third-year signal-caller, you can increase the rushing yards to 29.5 and get this same-game parlay at +200 odds.

-- Elisha Twerski (@ElishaTwerski)

Article Author

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The Senior Editor at OddsChecker, Elisha is an experienced fantasy and betting analyst. According to BettingPros, he was was one of the most accurate betting experts in 2019, ranking second in moneyline picks and 13th against the spread. Originally from Milwaukee, Wisconsin, his best skill is his ability to spell "Antetokounmpo" without looking. You can follow Elisha on Twitter at @ElishaTwerski.

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