Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns: Same-Game Parlay Picks
The Cleveland Browns enter their Week 4 matchup against the Minnesota Vikings at 2-1 but still have not won on the road this season. Though it is a small sample size, the Vikings have yet to lose at home, as they got into the win column last week after two excruciating losses to start the season. Since opening at Browns -1 earlier in the week, this line has done nothing but move in Cleveland’s favor. So are we supporting the Browns as much as the betting public has early in the week? Let’s dive into our same game parlay to find out.
Cleveland has benefitted from a light schedule the last two weeks, as they beat the lowly Texans and the Bears in Justin Fields’ first start. The Vikings should present more of an issue offensively for the Browns defense, as they enter this week third in total offense and eighth in points per game. The fascinating dynamic of a confident Browns defense against a surging Vikings offense works its way into two of the three legs of our same game parlay.
Vikings vs. Browns Same-Game Parlay Picks
UNDER 56.5 POINTS
Our first leg of our same game parlay adjusts the initial over/under by three points. Last week’s Vikings-Seahawks game looked like it would crush the projected total, but the two teams combined for nine points in the second half after a 38-point first half.
Minnesota’s defense pitched a shutout in the second half last week against Seattle, as they proved the only team capable of shutting down Seahawks receiver Tyler Lockett so far this year. Lockett came into last week’s game with touchdown catches of 23, 69, and 63 yards. However, it was clear Minnesota’s game plan was to limit Seattle’s big-play ability and make them grind out several long drives.
Cleveland’s Odell Beckham Jr. played in his first game last week, but he does not appear healthy enough to be the “take-the-top-off-the-defense” receiver that he has been in his prime. Thus, Minnesota’s similar defensive strategy as last week should play well this week, as Cleveland does not have the huge home run threats through the air as Seattle does.
Like we utilized an alternate point total for the first leg of our parlay, we resort to an alternate point spread for the second leg, moving the original number five points. Again, this feels like a safe landing point for Minnesota’s point spread, as Cleveland does not appear to have the offensive firepower to dominate the Vikings in this game.
The point spread has not stopped moving in Cleveland’s favor thus far, getting bet up from -1 to -2.5 throughout the week at most sportsbooks. However, the Vikings are a couple of plays away from being 3-0 entering this game, or at the very least 2-1 if they would have made a chip shot field goal to beat the Cardinals. If Minnesota had a winning record coming into this game, wouldn’t you think oddsmakers would have made them favorites this week? Until I see a team come into U.S. Bank Stadium and beat the Vikings, I will give them the benefit of the doubt.
VIKINGS Team Total UNDER 26.5 POINTS
Yes, the Vikings have racked up the third-most total yards this year, and yes, Cleveland’s defensive statistics may be a bit skewed given the weak competition they have faced the last two weeks. However, the Browns defense still comes into this week a confident bunch, and one that is ready to pressure Kirk Cousins relentlessly.
Cleveland’s defense sacked rookie Justin Fields nine times last week and pressured him on many more dropbacks. Defensive end Myles Garrett had 4.5 of those sacks all by himself, and he leads the league with 5.5 sacks entering this week. Minnesota’s Alexander Mattison rushed for 112 yards last week in replace of the injured Dalvin Cook. However, the Browns have allowed just 67 yards per game on the ground (ranks fifth in the league) and should be able to limit the Vikings’ No. 1 option on offense. By getting Minnesota’s offense behind the chains in down and distance, they will be able to pin their ears back and get after the immobile Kirk Cousins.
Vikings vs. Browns SAME GAME PARLAY Picks
3-Leg Same Game Parlay (+250): Risk $100 to win $250
- UNDER 56.5 POINTS
- VIKINGS +7.5
- VIKINGS Team Total UNDER 26.5 POINTS