NFL Betting Picks: Our Staff's Top NFL Bets for Week 4

We asked the OddsChecker staff for their top bets for the Week 4 NFL slate. Here are their picks and predictions.
Elisha Twerski
Fri, October 1, 12:36 PM EDT

NFL Betting Picks: Our Staff's Top NFL Bets for Week 4

If you're anything like me, you've walked into Target too many times to count and your head starts spinning because you can't figure out what unnecessary item to purchase first.

Sports betting is essentially the same.

These days, there are thousands of bets you can place each week of the NFL season, and narrowing it down can be a daunting task. The friendly staff at OddsChecker is here to help!

Every week, in addition to an ever-growing abundance of top-notch content, our staff will be providing us with their favorite overall plays each week of the season. Now, unlike shopping at Target, where you don't leave until you've purchased the entire store, our staff can only pick one bet.

For this piece, our staff will be covering whatever Week 4 bets they feel strongest about -- no limitations. Let’s get to it!

New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans Under 44.5 (-110)

Both A.J. Brown and Julio Jones have been ruled out of Sunday's game against the Jets. That severely limits Tannehill's passing upside, but so does the matchup, as the Jets have really struggled offensively so far. Expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry and a conservative gameplan from Tennessee like their win last week that featured fewer than 200 passing yards from Tannehill.

-- Ben Gretch (@YardsPerGretch)

Carolina Panthers +4.5 (-105)

The Panthers defense has been awesome this year, no doubt. That said, their best trick has been finding creative ways to send pressures at opposing quarterbacks. There may not be a quarterback and offensive line pairing as equipped to combat that as Dak Prescott and his guys up front. We'll see how Dallas' defense holds up on the other side, but I trust Prescott to handle this defense.

-- Derrik Klassen (@QBKlass)

Tom Brady Under 304.5 Passing Yards (-110)

At one point this week, the Buccaneers point spread was attracting more than 90% of the bets and handle at some sportsbooks. Most bettors are backing Tom Brady in his return to Foxborough, and are expecting him to stick it to his former coach. However, in Brady's quest to prove that he was more of a reason for the success of their dynasty than was Belichick, his former coach will not allow him to throw the ball all over the yard. The Patriots have not faced the best trio of quarterbacks, but they still have allowed less than 160 passing yards per game. Everyone expects Brady to light up his former team, but this projected total feels a bit too high.

-- Mike Spector (@MikeSpector01)

49ers vs. Seahawks Over 27 First Half (+130)

The Seahawks have scored the most points in the first half through three weeks in the NFL. The Seahawks have also scored the least amount of points in the second half this season in the NFL. For whatever reason, the Seahawks have struggled to score in the second half of the season. Meanwhile, the defense for Seattle has been abysmal and the Niners have some real momentum after driving against the Packers last week. Four touchdowns at + money seems like a really fair bet!

-- Jason Radowitz (@Jason_Radowitz)

Green Bay Packers -6.5 (-104)

After scoring just three points in Week 1, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers bounced back nicely the past two weeks with a combined 65 points. With the offense in high gear, how does Pittsburgh keep pace? That's a trick question -- they can't. Ben Roethlisberger can't get the ball down the field anymore which is needed to keep pace with a team like Green Bay.

-- Matt O’Leary (@MattOLearyNY)

Jonathan Taylor to score Anytime (+125)

I know what you're thinking...JT hasn't even scored once in three weeks! Well, that's going to change on Sunday and I'm not missing out on the opportunity to get him to score at these odds. Last week, Taylor's season-low 11 touches actually matched that of backup Nyheim Hines, who totaled 79 yards from his workload. Most of Hines' production came in the passing game. Hines even vultured a nine-yard touchdown from Taylor in the second quarter. Peyton Barber ran for 111 yards and a touchdown versus the Miami Dolphins last week! That's right. Peyton Barber. Miami has allowed the third-most rushing yards and second-most rushing touchdowns to running backs so far. Let's get back on track with our best bets here and cash. Best of luck if you tail!

-- Tom Viera (@Tom_Viera)

New York Jets +7.5 (-135)

Not many people want to be part of any Jets wager right now but I think they get back on track Sunday and play a very competitive game vs the Titans, so ill take the points. I'm also high on Zack Wilson to finally move the ball and get a little confidence (played him over 225 passing yards in my OddsChecker Props card).

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

David Montgomery Over 59.5 Rushing Yards and Anytime Touchdown (+175)

Over their last 19 games, the Detroit Lions have ceded a whopping 35 combined scores to running backs -- that's an average of 1.8 per contest. David Montgomery, who has topped 60 rushing yards in eight of his last nine, was responsible for two of those touchdowns last season. He also eclipsed 60 rushing yards in both of his matchups versus the Lions. If you're confident in Monty cracking 70 rush yards, you can get this parlay at +225 over at DraftKings.

-- Elisha Twerski (@ElishaTwerski)

Elisha Twerski
ElishaTwerski
The Senior Editor at OddsChecker, Elisha is an experienced fantasy and betting analyst. According to BettingPros, he was was one of the most accurate betting experts in 2019, ranking 2nd in moneyline picks and 13th against the spread. Originally from Milwaukee, Wisconsin, his best skill is his ability to spell "Antetokounmpo" without looking.
Sep 2021
Record
Wins
7
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
33.6%
0Betslip

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