NFL Week 4 Odds, Lines, Picks, Predictions, Where To Watch: Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns
Date: Sunday, Oct 3, 2021
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Location: US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
TV Network: CBS
Cleveland Browns Record: 2-1
Minnesota Vikings Record: 1-2
|Cleveland Browns||-2 (-110)||-125||O 51.5 (-105)|
|Minnesota Vikings||+2 (-110)||+118||U 51.5 (-108)|
Cleveland Browns Preview
After a tough loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1, the Browns have won two in a row. They beat up on both the Houston Texans and Chicago Bears at home before now having to take their talented roster on the road to Minnesota.
As expected, the ground game has been excellent for the Browns so far this year. Nick Chubb has three rushing touchdowns and is averaging 5.5 yards per carry while Kareem Hunt has two and is coming in at 5.7 yards per carry.
Baker Mayfield is arguably playing the best football of his career, even though the touchdown passes aren’t quite there yet. He’s averaging 260 yards per game and has a quarterback rating of 102.1 which is the highest of his career.
Minnesota Vikings Preview
The Vikings started their season with back-to-back tough losses to the Cincinnati Bengals and Arizona Cardinals. They lost to an overtime field goal in Week 1 and then in Week 2, lost 34-33 with Arizona hitting a field goal to pull in front late in the fourth quarter.
They finally broke through with an impressive 30-17 win at home over the Seahawks. Kirk Cousins has been playing really good football as he has eight touchdowns to no interceptions and an average of 306 yards per game.
The issue is the defense for Minnesota, they’re bleeding yards as they rank 28th in the league in yards against and 20th in points against. If they want to have a chance on Sunday, they’ll have to contain the Browns rushing attack which is no easy task.
Minnesota Vikings vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
Both Cleveland and Minnesota hold a 2-1 record against the spread this year but when going back further to the start of 2020, the Browns are slightly better going 10-11 ATS while Minnesota has just an 8-11 record.
Since Kirk Cousins’ arrival, the Vikings are just 12-12-1 at home and after a win, they hold just an 8-16-1 record ATS. As for Cleveland, they’re just 1-3 as road favorites since last season.
Neither of these teams has been particularly kind to us against the spread, so basing this one just off what I expect to happen in the game, I have more faith in the Browns. They’re the better roster and with the spread being only two points, a field goal win would cover for Cleveland.
Both Minnesota and Cleveland have yielded positive results on the over since the start of last year. Minnesota hitting the number 68.4 percent of the time and Cleveland hitting it 57.1 percent of the time.