Cincinnati Bengals vs. Green Bay Packers: Same-Game Parlay Picks
The Week 5 matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Cincinnati Bengals is one of just two games on this week’s slate featuring two teams that are 3-1 or better. Some are likely surprised that the Packers ended up 3-1 after their blowout Week 1 loss against the Saints, while few could have predicted that Cincinnati would be in a three-way tie atop the AFC North standings at 3-1 after four games. So will the Packers continue to assert themselves as one of the NFC’s best teams, or will the Bengals continue to show that their hot start is no fluke? Find out in our three-leg same-game parlay that pays odds of +330.
Bengals vs. Packers Same-Game Parlay Picks
Green Bay Packers by 1-13 Points (Winning Margin 4-Way)
The four options for a four-way winning margin bet are that Green Bay wins by 1-13 points, Green Bay wins by 14+, Cincinnati wins by 1-13 points, and Cincinnati wins by 14+. Based on all four outcomes, the Packers winning by 13 or fewer points is the most likely scenario.
Since their Week 1 loss to the Saints, Green Bay has averaged 30.7 points per game. Cincinnati does have the advantage of having three extra days of rest, having last played on Thursday night, but that win over the Jaguars should not have bettors brimming with confidence entering this matchup. The Bengals defense struggled with defending the read option and allowed the Jaguars to rush for 139 yards and 4.6 yards per carry. Jacksonville scored touchdowns on two of their first four possessions last week and was a questionable Urban Meyer decision away from leading 21-0 going into halftime. While Cincinnati’s offense scored on all four of their second-half possessions, the fact that they struggled to get Jacksonville’s offense off the field even to be limited to four possessions is the bigger concern.
Perhaps the biggest concern for Cincinnati is the possibility that they could be without running back Joe Mixon. Mixon is dealing with a low-grade ankle sprain and is considered week-to-week, per ESPN’s Adam Schefter. No disrespect to Samaje Perine, but he is not nearly as talented of a running back as Mixon, especially from a pass-catching standpoint. The Bengals have several weapons on the perimeter in Ja’Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd, but Green Bay’s secondary will handle them better if there is no home-run threat from the ground game that Mixon provides.
Green Bay Packers OVER 26.5 Total Points
Cincinnati’s defensive concerns lead into the second leg of our parlay, as we expect Green Bay’s offense to keep humming. The Packers have exceeded this point total in each of their last three games and just scored 27 against a Pittsburgh defense that was the healthiest they have been all year, especially with difference-maker T.J. Watt available. In addition, Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur had to love the team’s balance offensively, as they had 36 passes and 33 runs.
The encouraging sign is that they still scored 27 points despite an uncharacteristically slow day offensively from Davante Adams, who was “limited” to six catches and 64 yards. Cincinnati has the seventh-ranked defense, but their last three games have been against Justin Fields in his first start, an aging Ben Roethlisberger, and rookie Trevor Lawrence. We expect Aaron Rodgers to pose problems for this defense that they have not faced all year.
Green Bay Packers +0.5 (Alternate Spread)
If the first leg of our parlay hits, this third leg is guaranteed to be a winner. With this alternate spread, we are moving the line 3.5 points, and it is now essentially a moneyline play on the Packers. If bettors choose to do a same-game parlay that does not involve Green Bay winning outright, they may want to move this number through the key number of three, as getting +3.5 points with Green Bay takes the possibility of Cincinnati winning by a field goal out of the equation.
Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
3-Leg Same-Game Parlay (+330) Risk $100 to win $330
- Packers by 1-13 Points (Winning Margin 4-Way)
- Packers OVER 26.5 Total Points
- Green Bay Packers +0.5 (Alternate Spread)