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The New England Patriots travel south to Houston to take on the Texans in Week 5 in a battle of rookie quarterbacks. NFL expert Mike Spector is here with a same-game parlay.

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots Same-Game Parlay Picks

The New England Patriots are coming off a devastating loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in one of the most anticipated regular-season games of all time. They threw the kitchen sink at Tom Brady and held the high-powered Bucs offense to just one touchdown, and had a chance for a go-ahead field goal in the game's final minute.

The Houston Texans' Week 4 loss was not as devastating, as the writing was on the wall from the onset that the Buffalo Bills were the superior team. Nevertheless, Houston lost 40-0 and have now scored nine points in their last eight quarters. Can Bill Belichick raise his team's morale enough to take care of business as big road favorites, or will the Texans overcome their offensive struggles enough to compete with the Patriots? Find out the answer in our same-game parlay.

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Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots Same-Game Parlay Picks

Houston Texans +10.5 (Alternate Spread)

We start our three-leg same game parlay by adjusting the point spread two points and through the key number of ten. The Patriots should win this football game, but they are 8-12 since Tom Brady left and have the look of a team that is still a work in progress with so many new pieces on both sides of the ball. Mac Jones played well in the loss to Tampa Bay, at one point throwing 19 straight completions, which is the most by a rookie in the last 40 seasons. However, he is still being treated as more of a game manager than a quarterback who pushes the ball downfield. For as long as that is the case, this offense has a low ceiling.

The biggest reason for backing the Texans in this game is the COVID-19 complications that seem to be surfacing in the Patriots organization. On Tuesday, the team placed left tackle Isaiah Wynn and left guard Mike Onwenu on the COVID-19 reserve list, which presents the possibility that the entire left side of their offense could miss the game. Wynn and Onwenu have a chance to suit up Sunday if they have two negative tests 24 hours apart, but their absence from practice all week and their potential absence for the game does not inspire confidence in backing New England's point spread.

UNDER 43.5 (Alternate Total Points)

With the way New England's defense handled Tampa Bay's offense, who came into their Week 4 matchup averaging 34.3 points per game, they should be able to manhandle a Davis Mills-led Texans offense who has not been able to get out of their own way for the last two weeks. Of course, some will cite the fact that the weather in Buffalo did not help Houston's case to move the ball offensively. But if that is the case, how does one explain the Bills putting up 40 points?

The biggest worry with this bet is if the Texans defense will slow down New England's offense. However, we already cited the Patriots' offensive line concerns, and Houston has allowed just 22.5 points per game at home this season, which gives confidence that they will not get steamrolled by New England.

New England Patriots By 1-13 (Winning Margin 4-Way)

The other options of this four-way bet are for the Patriots to win the game by 14+ points or for the Texans to win by either 1-13 or 14+ points themselves. If New England were coached by anyone other than Bill Belichick, we would be more fearful of a letdown after an emotionally charged loss in primetime last week. However, Belichick should rally his team as only he knows how living by the "We're on to Cincinnati" mantra and taking each game week-by-week.

Davis Mills has shown nothing through two starts that he can lead this offense to a lot of points. This may be a low-scoring field position type of game, but that plays into Belichick's best attributes as a coach, and we do not see the Patriots squandering an opportunity to beat an inferior opponent.

New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans Same-Game Parlay (+322)

3-Leg Same-Game Parlay (+322) Risk $100 to win $322

  • Houston Texans +10.5 (Alternate Spread)
  • UNDER 43.5 (Alternate Total Points)
  • New England Patriots By 1-13 (Winning Margin 4-Way)

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Article Author


Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest


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