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NFL analyst Brian Good is back, giving us his Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay picks and predictions for Week 5's game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills.
ANALYSIS

Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay Picks: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

We’re being treated to a good one this Sunday on Sunday Night Football as the 3-1 Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the back-to-back AFC champion Chiefs in primetime. The Bills’ offense has been nearly unstoppable for three straight weeks after a minor hiccup against the Steelers in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Chiefs never punted once last week in a win against the Eagles.

Sunday night’s Same Game Parlay pick form me is going to be expecting a lot of points. Neither of these defenses are very good and both offenses have a ton of talent. Same Game Parlay’s have become one of my absolute favorite ways to bet on football. So, let’s take a look at one for Bills vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.

Bills vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks

3-Leg Same Game Parlay @ +355 - $50 Wager Wins $177.63

Same Game Parlay Leg 1: Patrick Mahomes Over 307.5 Yards Passing

Same Game Parlay Leg 2: Josh Allen Over 304.5 Yards Passing

We’re lumping these together because the reasoning for backing both is the exact same. Both the Bills and Chiefs defense are not great. If I’m worried about one thing, it’s the fact that the Bills defesne is basically untested, so who knows what we can expect from them? They have two shutouts in the last three weeks, but they came against Davis Mills and the Houston Texans and the Miami Dolphins.

As for the Chiefs defense, they are bad. They allow the 6th most passing yards against per game this season at 291.8 yards per game. That means Josh Allen just needs to be slightly better than average against KC.

Mahomes is the question mark here. He’s failed to break 300 yards passing in two straight weeks. But, if the Chiefs are going to win, which I think they are, they are going to need to keep up with Allen and the high-powered Bills offense. I expect a big game from not only Mahomes but the rest of his weapons as well.

Josh Allen may very well accidentally beat his 304.5-yard prop. A week ago, this Chiefs defense gave up 387 yards passing the Jalen Hurts and the Philadlephia Eagles, a team that has a fraction of the talent that the Bills have this year.

Same Game Parlay Leg 3: Over 56.5

Yeah, you’re noticing a theme here. I’m betting on points. Watching last week’s effort by the Chiefs just has me believing that any team in the league can score on them. If it wasn’t for three TDs brought back by penalties by the Eagles last week, the Chiefs very well could have lost that game.

Here is what has happened in Chiefs games this season when it comes to scoring points. Twice, the total in Chiefs games has gone over 70 points. Three times, the total points in a Chiefs game has surpassed 60. And, the only time this season that the Chiefs haven’t had a game go over the 56.5 points needed this week came against the Chargers, who may have the best secondary in the NFL.

I expect the Chiefs and Bills to both score. But, even if the Bills defense has a good game and holds the Chiefs to a below-average performance, the Chiefs defense is guaranteed to give up a ton of yards and a ton of points.

Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay Picks

Leg 1: Patrick Mahomes Over 307.5 Yards Passing

Leg 2: Josh Allen Over 304.5 Yards Passing

Leg 3: Over 56.5

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Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.

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