First Touchdown Scorer Week 5 Picks: Starting Early With Jets vs. Falcons
First touchdown scorer bets are a fickle thing. A lot goes into whether or not a player can score the first touchdown of the game. One major factor is the opening kick-off and who gets the ball, something we have absolutely no control over or data to predict.
So, as always, these first TD scorer picks come with a little bit of caution. But, the best part about these bets is that they come with massive odds. It only takes hitting one to turn a big profit and, if you hit at a big number it can make your week. I wouldn’t suggest making a habit of putting big bets on these. But I’m picking my spots for Week 5’s first TD scorer.
First Touchdown Scorer Picks and Predictions – Week 5
New York Jets RB Michael Carter @ +800
I’m all in on the Michael Carter hype train. I loved him at UNC, I thought he was a great pick in this past NFL Draft and I love how he’s now being used in this offense. I’m also going in big on the Jets this week as I think they will pull off the upset and beat the Atlanta Falcons outright.
This game has a 9:30 AM start time, since it’s this year’s London game, so there is even more noise when it comes to betting on this game. But, Carter is as safe of a first TD scorer bet as you’ll find. Last week, in the Jets’ first win of the year, Carter wasn’t very efficient but he did find the end zone on 13 carries. He’s going to get a lot of touches and I like him to find the end zone first in London.
Carolina Panthers WR DJ Moore @ +650
I’m not shy about the game I’m expecting from DJ Moore. The Eagles’ secondary isn’t average or below average, it’s bad. We saw what Tyreek Hill did to the Eagles last week and DJ Moore should be able to do pretty much mimic that. Moore is coming in off two straight 100-yard games. He caught two TDs last week and if you told me he was going to catch four this time around I wouldn’t fight you on it.
Sam Darnold is also an interesting play here because he has an insane 5 rushing touchdowns this season, but his +1100 first touchdown scorer odds don’t do much for me when DJ Moore is going to get so many more looks at the end zone, especially early.
San Francisco 49ers QB Trey Lance @ +1100
What better way to get your rookie QB comfortable than by leaning on the run game in his first start? The one issue is that the Arizona Cardinals are very good. But, that may lean even more into the probability that Kyle Shanahan lets his young QB do what comes most naturally.
We obviously don’t have a ton of data to look at with Lance under center. But, he wasn’t all that efficient of a passer when he came on in relief of Jimmy Garoppolo last week. At +1100, the same odds as Sam Darnold, this is my favorite first touchdown scorer bet of Week 5.
First Touchdown Scorer Picks – Week 5
Michael Carter @ +800
DJ Moore @ +650
Trey Lance @ +110