4 Thursday Night Football Props Bets: Eagles vs. Buccaneers Player Props
This week’s Thursday Night Football game features two teams coming off a win in their last time out. The Philadelphia Eagles took a game that looked like a sure loss and turned it around in the end, beating the Panthers, 21-18 on the road. The Buccaneers dominated the Dolphins from the opening kick and never looked back.
Now, the Buccaneers travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles. Lincoln Financial Field will be loud, and crazy for primetime, but don’t expect that to impact the GOAT under center. I have four Eagles vs. Buccaneers player prop picks for that I think really stick out to me. These Thursday Night prop bets all come in around the -110 range. I don’t love any of the value on anytime or first TD scorers, so I’m focusing all on more predictable props.
Top 4 Eagles vs. Buccaneers Player Props
1. Devonta Smith Over 5.5 Receptions @ -130
One of the most noticeable things you see when watching an Eagles game this year is just how many times Jalen Hurts looks Devonta Smith’s way in a game. That makes Smith’s reception prop my top Thursday Night football prop pick for Eagles vs. Buccaneers.
In five games this season, Devonta Smith has been targeted 39 times. He’s never seen fewer than six targets in a game and has only had fewer than six receptions twice this season. Last week, against the Panthers, he was the only Eagles WR that could consistently get open, and Jalen Hurts looked his way almost every play as a result. Smith is the real deal. He reminds me of Marvin Harrison. He’s not a burner, he’s not the biggest guy, but he will turn even the best DBs around with his insane route running. Jalen Hurts knows this and constantly relies on him to win 1-on-1s. This week will be another big game for the former Heisman Trophy winner.
2. Jalen Hurts Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards @ -110
If Devonta Smith’s involvement in the offense is the most notable thing about the Eagles on that side of the ball, the second most notable thing is that they refuse to throw the ball down the field. I don’t know if it’s Jalen Hurts being hesitant to stretch the field or head coach Nick Sirianni refusing to take the training wheels off his offense, but it’s infuriating to watch as an Eagles fan. So, my second favorite Thursday Night prop pick plays right into it.
Just how noticeable is it that Jalen Hurts can’t or won’t stretch the field? Hurts averages 4.7 air yards per completion, which is good for 30th in the NFL. Hurts has completed passes longer than 37.5 yards in three of his five games this season. But, if it wasn’t for a miracle 53-yard completion to Quez Watkins in the fourth quarter last week, he wouldn’t have sniffed this.
The Eagles love to check down, this under should have no problem hitting.
3. Tom Brady Under 298.5 Passing Yards @ -115
Listen, I know that Tom Brady is lighting the league on fire AGAIN despite being older than like half the head coaches in the NFL. Most likely, he will once again be extremely efficient against the Eagles on Thursday Night Football and lead his team to a victory. However, even when this Eagles defense is giving up a ton of points, they aren’t giving up a lot of passing yards.
Twice this season the Eagles have looked completely hopeless on defense. First in Week 3 against the Cowboys, then again in Week 4 against the Chiefs. I fully expect the Eagles to give up a similar amount of points on Thursday and lose rather lopsidedly. But, in those games, Patrick Mahomes threw for 278 yards and Dak Prescott threw for 238 yards. The Eagles haven’t given up a 300-yard passing game even once this season. Brady has, despite all his success, been held under 298 yards twice this year.
The Eagles holding Brady under 299 yards, while still giving up a ton of points and losing, is a good prop bet for Thursday.
4. Jalen Reagor Under 38.5 Receiving Yards @ -110
Jalen Reagor, last year’s first round pick in Philadelphia, has become a complete afterthought in this Eagles offense. During the offseason, it was rumored that the coaching staff wasn’t happy with Reagor’s progress made from year 1 to year 2, and it looks like that is true. Not only does he look lazy in his route running, but he doesn’t give a ton of effort even when the ball is intended for him.
In college, Reagor high-pointed the ball extremely well despite his size. Now, he looks like he couldn’t care less about catching a pass. Not only has his effort been low, but Nick Sirianni has gone almost completely away from involving him in the game plan. Reagor had 24 yards on five targets last week, just one week after having one catch on one target for nine yards the week before.
Thursday Night Football Prop Picks: Eagles vs. Buccaneers Player Props
Pick: Devonta Smith Over 5.5 Receptions @ -130
Pick: Jalen Hurts Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards @ -110
Pick: Tom Brady Under 298.5 Passing Yards @ -115
Pick: Jalen Reagor Under 38.5 Receiving Yards @ -110