NFL Player Props Week 6: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
NFL Player Props Week 6: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
We have kicked off Week 6 red hot, hitting on two out of three anytime touchdown picks from Thursday night when we hit OJ Howard +400) and Zach Ertz (+225). We almost connected on our first sweep of picks with Quez Watkins scoring on two occasions but not quite. Now, we're looking to keep the success rolling into Sunday!
As you will see Week 6 is the tight end touchdown week for me! I have five tight ends I like this week to score a touchdown anytime! There are a few spots I really like this week and I've done the research to find the longest odds for the picks. There are plenty of running backs I like this week to score but the odds just weren't quite enticing enough to make them official plays.
With Week 6 of the NFL here I'm looking for a strong week of picks and trying to build back our profit. Best of luck if you tail!
James Robinson (+125)
Robinson has scored a touchdown in three straight weeks! He's going to make it five in a row when the Jaguars play the Dolphins in London. A trend you'll see later in my picks is that the Dolphins and Jaguars opponents are averaging 2.8 touchdowns scored in the red zone a game. Miami has been terrible defending the run so far in 2021. Robinson has at least three carries inside the red zone the last three weeks. He is out-snapping all other Jaguars running backs like he should be, at an alarming rate! He has averaged 4.21 YAC per attempt which is best in the NFL and is averaging the second-most yards per attempt at 5.8 yards. Miami has allowed the second-most touchdowns to running backs so far and the fourth-most rushing yards. I expect Robinson to take full advantage of his opportunities and he is my best pick of the week you can read the rest of our staff's top picks for Week 6 here!
Latavius Murray (+145)
Murray has scored in three out of five games to this point. He leads Ravens running backs with ten red zone rush attempts. He had three last week, and no other Ravens running back has had one since Week 2. The Chargers have allowed five rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs and 1 through the air. The Chargers play with eight men in the box just 9 percent of the time.
Javonte Williams (+160)
Williams is averaging 7.3 yards per carry over the past two weeks, which is absurd. Williams also has at least three receptions and a goal-to-go carry in three straight weeks. He now faces a Raiders team that just gave up 139 rushing yards and a touchdown to the Bears backup running backs. The Raiders have allowed the fourth-most scores to opposing running backs on the year. Although Williams is still splitting work with Melvin Gordon, I think we see him take advantage of every opportunity this week.
Ricky Seals-Jones (+333)
Seals-Jones played on 99 percent of snaps for the WFT last week. He played 82 of 83 snaps and saw eight targets on 46 routes, including 3 in the red zone. That kind of usage bodes well for an excellent day against the Chiefs, who allow the most receiving yards to tight ends on the season. With a banged up group of pass-catchers, Seals-Jones should have a big week based on sheer volume. I like RSJ's chances to find the end zone in a game with the highest over/under of Week 6.
Jared Cook (+300)
With wide receiver Mike Williams missing practice all week, I'm expecting Jared Cook to take on a more significant role against the Ravens. Williams and Keenan Allen dominate the targets for the Chargers, but Cook is third on the team. The Ravens have allowed the second-most yards to tight ends, and opposing teams have targeted the tight end position against the Ravens 53 times, the most for any team by a fair margin. If Williams suits up, I don't like this pick as much, of course, but if not, fire up Jared Cook!
Mo Allie-Cox (+410)
Mo Allie-Cox has a terrific matchup in Week 6 against a Texans defense, allowing the second-most receptions, fourth-most yards, and second-most scored to tight ends in 2021. He scored twice in Week 4. He was targeted four times on 14 routes and has out-targeted teammate Jack Doyle 9-2 over the last two weeks.
Tyler Higbee (+225)
We were on Higbee last Thursday night, and he found the end zone in a favorable matchup for us. In a game I'm expecting the Rams to dominate, Higbee has a significant chance of scoring. The Giants have allowed four scores to tight ends, and as a Giants fan, I know how bad they've been for years defending against the position! With Linebacker Blake Martinez out for the season, I'm expecting teams to continue to attack the Giants this way. Higbee has scored in two of the last three games and has six red-zone targets on the season.
Mike Gesicki (+225)
Last week we hit on our anytime touchdown pick from the London game with Hayden Hurst at +380. I found another pick I like Sunday morning from across the pond and it's the Dolphins tight end. The Dolphins and Jaguars opponents are averaging 2.8 touchdowns scored in the red zone a game. They are both tied for the second-most in the NFL behind the Chiefs in this category. The Jaguars have allowed four receiving scores to tight ends through the first five weeks after they allowed the second-most in 2020 to the position. With wide receiver Devante Parker ruled out, it will be one less option for Gesicki to compete with. Tua Tagovailoa is returning from IR this week, and in games, he's started since entering the NFL, he has heavily targeted his tight end in the red zone. Just the recipe we're looking for.
Taylor Heinicke (+375)
Talor Heinicke has one of the best matchups going for any quarterback. We mentioned earlier the over/under for the WFT, and the Chiefs game is the highest set of the week; well, there should be ample opportunity for him Sunday. The Chiefs have allowed opposing quarterbacks to run for over 230 yards and three scores already on the season. Josh Allen ran for 59 yards and a score last week against this defense. Heinicke has 127 rushing yards on the season and has plenty of athletic ability outside of the pocket. He has back-to-back games with over 40 rushing yards, and I like his chances to score his second rushing touchdown of the season this Sunday.
Chris Evans (+310)
The Bengals running back has yet to have any carries on the season, but with backup Samaje Perine out this Sunday, he will be slotted in as the number 2 back behind starter Joe Mixon. Mixon has been battling an ankle injury and, as a result, split his carries last week with backup Perine. Evans now fills Perine's role, and what better time than facing the Lions abysmal defense. The Lions have allowed six rushing and four receiving touchdowns to opposing running backs. At these odds, it's worth a stab as the second option for the Bengals could be a very sneaky play.
Jakobi Meyers (+225)
Meyers has yet to score in the NFL even though he has the 15th high target share in the NFL in 2021. He's received at least one red-zone target the last three weeks, and he goes up against the Cowboys in Week 6, who are allowing the fourth-most yards to slot receivers to this point and the third most yards to wide receivers overall. This is the week Meyers scores his first NFL touchdown, and we don't want to miss out on it!
Allen Lazard (+345)
To get a wide receiver playing as many snaps and running as many routes for an Aaron Rodgers led offense at these odds is insane! Last week I backed Lazard, and he didn't produce much as Davante Adam's received the majority of all of the receiving work, but things should be different this Sunday. Adam's draws a difficult matchup in cornerback Jaylon Johnson. So some looks should be funneled towards Lazard. He played 55 snaps while Adam's played 58. The next most was by Randall Cobb with 35 snaps, so it's clear that Lazard is the number two at the moment. The Bears have been one of the ten worst teams defending Wide Receivers, and I think the Packers win this one easily. I'm taking one more shot on Lazard, hopefully, it pays off!
Week 6 Anytime Touchdown Picks
- James Robinson (+125)
- Latavius Murray (+145)
- Javonte Williams (+160)
- Ricky Seals-Jones (+333)
- Jared Cook (+300)
- Mo Allie-Cox (+410)
- Tyler Higbee (+225)
- Mike Gesicki (+225)
- Taylor Heinicke (+375)
- Chris Evans (+310)
- Jakobi Meyers (+225)
- Allen Lazard (+345)
Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.