Washington Football Team vs. Green Bay Packers Same Game Parlay Picks
Washington Football Team vs. Green Bay Packers Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions
Before the season started, the Week 7 matchup between the Washington Football Team and Green Bay Packers was viewed as a key NFC clash between two division contenders. Green Bay has looked every bit the part of a team that can run away with the NFC North as they enter this game on a five-game winning streak, while the Washington Football Team is off to a 2-4 start with tons of issues.
Will this be the week the supposed vaunted Washington defense starts to play more to their potential, or will Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense be the latest team to pile on the points against them? Find out with our three-leg same-game parlay that pays odds of +136.
Washington Football Team vs. Green Bay Packers Same Game Parlay
Same Game Parlay Leg 1: Washington Football Team +14.5 points (Alternate Spread)
As we often do with our same-game parlays, we made one of our wagers on an alternate spread, and in this case, adjusted the original line by five points. Washington has covered just once in its first five games, while Green Bay is 5-1 ATS this season. However, oddsmakers know that bettors are aware of these trends and will often use such an egregious split in ATS records against bettors.
The original line of 9.5 points seems high even though the Packers have covered five straight games. They are a dominant 16-2 SU in their last 18 games at Lambeau Field but have recently played down to their competition, as evidenced by their 2-5 ATS record in their previous seven home games against teams with losing road records. Washington is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit home loss, and we feel comfortable they can cover two touchdowns in what is already an inflated line.
Same Game Parlay Leg 2: Green Bay Packers UNDER 29.5 Team Total Points
Oddsmakers know exactly what they are doing with making Green Bay’s team total 29.5 points. They are playing on the historical fact that Washington has allowed 29 or more points in five consecutive games in a single season for the first time. Unfortunately, what was supposed to be the team’s strength is arguably their biggest weakness through six games, as the Football Team ranks 31st in total defense and dead-last in points per game allowed.
That being said, there are a lot of positives to take away from how Washington fared against Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes, despite allowing 31 points. Perhaps the biggest is that the Football Team pressured Mahomes on 40% of his dropbacks. Mahomes was 7-for-15 for 72 yards and an interception when under pressure, and Washington sacked him three times.
The Bears went into last week’s contest against the Packers with a pressure rate of 35%, which ranked third in the league. Aaron Rodgers did not have a particularly great game, throwing for just 195 yards, which was his lowest output during their five-game winning streak. If Washington gets similar pressure on Rodgers as they did on Mahomes, they should have success defensively for the first time in what feels like forever.
Same Game Parlay Leg 3: UNDER 53.5 points (Alternate Total Points)
This play on an alternate point total is similar to our play on Green Bay’s team total. If we do not expect the Packers to exceed their projected team total, we certainly do not expect Taylor Heinicke and the Washington offense to be the reason this game goes over the projected full-game total.
Entering last week’s game against Chicago, Aaron Rodgers’ statistics when under pressure were worrisome. He ranked 31st among qualified quarterbacks with a 2.9 QBR, was dead-last in yards per attempt (3.0), and his 37% completion percentage when under pressure ranked 27th in the league. As we outlined in the second leg of this parlay, Washington will have success defensively if they can get pressure on Rodgers.
Green Bay has some injury concerns in their defense, as cornerback Kevin King (shoulder) missed last week’s game against Chicago. That forced Rasul Douglas, who has been with the team for just two weeks, into action. However, Justin Fields and the Bears offense could not take advantage of the Packers’ compromised secondary, as they threw for just 137 yards and totaled just 277. Washington’s offense is not built to take advantage of Green Bay’s weaknesses either, as they enter this game ranked 24th in total offense.
Washington Football Team vs. Green Bay Packers Same Game Parlay Pick
3-Leg Same Game Parlay @ +136
LEG 1: Washington Football Team +14.5 points (Alternate Spread)
LEG 2: Green Bay Packers UNDER 29.5 Team Total Points
LEG 3: UNDER 53.5 points (Alternate Total Points)
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