Monday Night Football Picks: Our Staff's Top Bets for Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints
Twelve down, one to go.
The only game that remains for Week 7 of the 2021 NFL season is the Monday Night Football matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and New Orleans Saints.
Week 7 has seen underdogs cover in six of the 12 games, including straight-up victories by four of them. Meanwhile, the under has hit in seven of the 12 contests.
Tonight's matchup is one of two NFC squads that will likely be vying for Wild Card spots later in the season -- the 2-4 Seattle Seahawks at home taking on the 3-3 New Orleans Saints.
In addition to an ever-growing abundance of top-notch content, our staff will be providing us with their favorite overall plays each week of the season.
For this piece, our staff will be covering whatever bets they feel strongest about for the Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints matchup -- no limitations. Let’s get to it!
Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints Picks
New Orleans Saints -4.0 (-107)
Last week, the Seahawks used their running game to help their offense get in rhythm behind Geno Smith. This week, it's going to be hard to do much in the running game against a Saints rushing defense that allows just 79 yards per game. I'm just not confident the Seahawks if they can't run the football. The Saints will scratch this game out on the road.
-- Jason Radowitz (@Jason_Radowitz)
Total: Over 41.5
I get that this is a matchup of Geno Smith and Jameis Winston and not Drew Brees and Russell Wilson that we have gotten so accustomed to over the last decade in this rivalry. However, Seattle's defense ranks dead last in terms of yards allowed per game. Sean Payton's offense should be able to move the ball consistently, especially after a bye week. In addition, the Seahawks offense started to hum in the second half of last week's loss to Pittsburgh, and we look for that momentum to carry over this week.
-- Mike Spector (@MikeSpector01)
Tyler Lockett Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The Saints have been giving up tons of yards in the air this season and their biggest weakness vs the pass might be in the slot, New Orleans is allowing guys to get plenty of targets underneath an area that Lockett can control, he also has 3 receiving TDs of over 30 yards this season. Lockett is a complete receiver who will be used all over the field. This number seems too low for me.
-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)
Tyler Lockett has under 36 receiving yards in 3 of the last 4 games. This is reason to be concerned, however, the volume has been there. Lockett has 26 targets in the last 4 weeks, including 17 in the last 2 games. He isn't someone to give up on. Even with Geno Smith throwing the ball, Tyler Lockett can catch a 65-yard pass at any time. The New Orleans Saints have given up over 46 yards to EIGHT wide receivers in their last THREE games! Both D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett will add to that number tonight.
-- Nate Hamilton (@DomiNateFF)
Alvin Kamara Anytime Touchdown (-125)
I know this play has some juice but this is banker material. The Seattle defense has allowed six scores to opposing running backs so far. The most yards to the position and Kamara is a player getting an insane usage rate once again in 2021. He has played a whopping 83 percent of snaps, the second most for any running back, behind only Steelers rookie, Najee Harris. He has an insane 18 red zone touches, and 5th overall in the entire NFL in total touches. Kamara has done all of this even with a bye in Week 6. He scored twice in his last game against Washington and in 4 out of 5 games played. Seattle has been on the end of the most opponent rushing attempts and second in receiving yards surrendered to the position. Kamara already has three receiving scores on the year. Alvin Kamara is set up for a BOOM game here on Monday night! I’m even on him to score twice at +360! Best of luck if you tail!
-- Tom Viera (@Tom_Viera)
Alvin Kamara Over 129.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-115)
It's been a very uncharacteristic start to the season for Alvin Kamara. He has just 368 yards on the ground and one rushing touchdown on the season averaging under four yards per carry. That changes tonight. Seattle's defense is downright awful as they rank worst in the NFL in yards allowed, first downs allowed, and 30th in rushing yards allowed. Kamara might be able to hit this number on rushing yards alone and when you consider how deadly he can be as a receiver out of the backfield, it could be a very long night for the Seahawks trying to slow him down.
-- Matt O’Leary (@MattOLearyNY)
Alvin Kamara 3+ Receptions and 30+ Receiving Yards, and Alex Collins Under 59.5 Rushing Yards (+165) - DraftKings
I'll continue my tradition of going with a parlay for this pick. Let's face it -- we're all expecting a big game from Alvin Kamara. To date, Seattle has ceded an average of 6.5 receptions and 60 receiving yards per game to backs, both of which are top-five marks in the league. Seattle has surrendered three receptions or more to a back six times in 2021, and five runners have eclipsed 40 receiving yards against them. Frankly, Kamara could hit these marks in the first half. Meanwhile, on the other side, the Saints boast one of the league's best run defenses. The 55 rush yards per game allowed to the position is good for second-best in the NFL. Only Christian McCaffrey and Antonio Gibson have recorded 60-plus yards against them on the ground, and it took 24 and 20 carries for them to get there, respectively. With Alex Collins banged up and Rashaad Penny returning, under 59.5 on Collins' yards feels like an easy play.
-- Elisha Twerski (@ElishaTwerski)