TNF Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet for Cardinals vs. Packers
Thursday Night Football is must-watch television this week. We've got a 5-1 team versus a 6-1 team, and that never happens. I saw a stat the other day, but I forgot exactly what it was; but basically, it said we never get games like this in primetime this late in the season. I know I'm not a stats guy, but I had to pull that one out. It's impressive. Now when we're betting this game, we can't forget about player props. They are a great addition to any card, and honestly, I believe them to be the key to life. So here's one for this game that feels right.
Aaron Jones Over 92.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-105)
DraftKings is the only book with a line on this so far, but it is fair, so I went with it. FanDuel and BetMGM could come out with something better at some point, so obviously, pay attention. I just wanted to lock something in just in case it shot up to over 100.
With Davante Adams out this week, it looks like Jones will be the focal point of the offense. His rushing yards prop at 58.5 looks good, as well as his receiving yards at 30.5. Still, I'll gladly take the protection costs of a few extra yards on the two numbers combined. Given the circumstance, it seems like the move.
The Cardinals have one weakness on defense, and it's stopping the run. They haven't really been exposed since they are usually ahead, and teams abandon the run. So far this season, only one team in the NFL is worse on a yards-per-attempt basis. Jones can rack up some of this prop in the first half.
This one feels game script proof as there is a chance the Packers stop running in the second half. After all, the Cardinals could build a lead that would take the ball out of most running backs' hands but not Jones. He's at a 13% target share on the season, so with Adams out, that number should go up. I like Jones to go for 100+ on the ground and through the air Thursday night.