NFL Expert Picks: New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Best Bet

Saints vs. Buccaneers best bet and prediction for Sunday afternoon. NFL handicapper Stuart Durst breaks down the game and how he's betting it.
Stuart Durst
Thu, October 28, 1:53 PM EDT

NFL Expert Picks: New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Best Bet

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New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview

Who doesn't love a good ole fashioned NFC South rivalry game? On Halloween Night, the New Orleans Saints will be hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an exciting Week 8 game.

The Buccaneers have been one of the best teams in the NFL this season with defining wins over the Cowboys, Patriots, Eagles and Bears. Their lone loss was at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams, which definitely served as a wake-up call for the reigning Super Bowl champions. Tom Brady looks as youthful as ever and this Buccaneers offense is one of the best in the business.

The Saints spread has moved around a bit, with it sitting at around +5 or +5.5 on most sportsbooks. This would be one of the highest home spreads for the Saints in the modern era. The Dome always gets loud, home-field advantage is historically huge for the Saints and I’m excited to see these two rival teams battle it out under the spotlight.

Saints vs. Buccaneers Prediction

Saints vs. Buccaneers odds

Alvin Kamara is one of the best running backs in the NFL and we are finally starting to see him being used properly. To start the season, Kamara was being used as a traditional running back, which didn't quite fit his skillset. Whether it was at Tennessee, or even in his early years with the Saints, his role in the receiving game has always been essential to keeping opposing defenses honest.

That being said, Alvin Kamara has finally been unleashed. Before the bye-week, Kamara caught 5 passes for 50 yards against the Washington Football Team, who have been good against the run this season. While that gave me enough confidence to bet this last week, it was only an appetizer for what we got against the Seahawks. Kamara exploded on the scene with 10 catches for 128 receiving yards and a touchdown. He finally returned to that usage we saw last year. We know this team doesn't have an abundance of talented skill-position players, so taking advantage of their best player will be key to keeping them in this game.

The Buccaneers matchup also isn't bad at all for this prop. While they have possessed the best run defense in football over the past couple of seasons, that isn't bad for this prop. The Saints are gonna understand that throwing the ball is what's gonna keep them in the game, and considering the fact that Kamara is Winston's favorite target on this offense, I'm expecting a huge usage rate from Kamara on Sunday.

Saints vs. Buccaneers Best Bet

Pick: Alvin Kamara OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards @  -110 (DraftKings)

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