NFL Week 8 Picks and Predictions: Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football Parlay Picks

For Week 8 of the NFL season, Derrick Klassen is back with his parlay picks for the Sunday Night and Monday Night games.
Derrik Klassen
Sat, October 30, 6:40 AM EDT

NFL Week 8 Picks and Predictions: Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football Parlay Picks

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott, Anytime TD Scorer at -135

It’s good to start things off with a safe leg for this parlay. Ezekiel Elliott has been playing excellent football this year and has returned to a level of play that warrants the volume of touches he receives. Thanks in part to that volume, Elliott has found the end zone plenty this season. Elliott has scored in four of the team’s six games, including a pair of two-touchdown performances against the Eagles and Giants.

Now Elliott gets to square off against a Minnesota run defense unit that has struggled all season, both between the 20s and in the red zone. In total, the Vikings run defense ranks 24th in the league by DVOA — a stark contrast to their third-ranked pass defense. They have not fared much better at stopping the run specifically in the red zone, either. The Vikings are just 22nd in run defense DVOA in the red zone this season.

It’s also worth remembering Elliott is not pigeonholed into just scoring as a runner. One of his seven touchdowns this year was a receiving touchdown against the Giants a few weeks ago. He has also earned 20 targets this year, a whopping nine of which came in Dallas’ last game against the Patriots. Elliott should not be expected to see nine targets a game moving forward, but it’s clear they can go to him often in the passing game if they want to.

It’s possible the Cowboys could do so in this game considering Dak Prescott will either be playing with a bum calf or not playing at all. Playing with less than 100% quality quarterback play could lend to some checkdowns in the pass game, as well as an increased rushing workload, especially in the red zone.

Giants QB Daniel Jones, Over 28.5 Rushing Yards at -110

Daniel Jones has been impressive as a runner this year. His 95-yard outing against Washington on national television is the game we all remember, but he has cleared at least 25 rushing yards in five of seven games this season. One of the only two performances in which Jones did not clear that bar was when he got pulled due to a concussion against the Cowboys. The other game was the following week against the Rams, when he was likely still not 100% back in form following the concussion.

Part of Jones’ rushing value is on scrambles, but he is also a dangerous designed runner on zone read. Jones is not necessarily the quickest guy in a phonebooth, but he’s got good speed once he gets going. Jones can make the correct read on these option plays and give himself a decent runway on the edge to turn up the field for some solid chunk gains.

Against good, sound defensive fronts, that may be tougher to get away with, but that is not a problem this week. The Giants are facing the Chiefs, who have one of the worst fronts in football. The Chiefs front is particularly bad on the edge and at linebacker, too, which makes this matchup especially favorable for Jones as an option runner. New York should also feel inclined to pull out every trick in their playbook in order to keep up with Kansas CIty’s offense, which should give way to zone read opportunities for Jones.

New York Giants, Over 2.5 Team Touchdowns at +125

The Chiefs defense has sort of, halfway gotten their act together over the last couple weeks relative to where they started the year, but they are still a bad unit. Per Football Outsiders’ DVOA, they rank 31st in defense, sitting only above the Jacksonville Jaguars. They have also allowed an average of 3.6 touchdowns per game, which is tied for second-worst in the league.

To be fair to the Kansas City defense, the issue is two-fold. Yes, the Chiefs defense is bad on its own. Their defensive ends are horrendous, their linebackers are bad and inexperienced, and the secondary has battled some injuries on top of already being a volatile unit. The Chiefs offense has surrendered a ton of turnovers, though, and regularly put the Chiefs defense in poor positions. Assuming those offensive turnovers continue to some degree, as they have all year, then the Giants offense should get some decent field position and extra chances to score.

Parlay Picks

  • Ezekiel Elliott Anytime TD scorer
  • Daniel Jones over 28.5 rushing yards 
  • Giants over 2.5 team touchdowns
Derrik Klassen
QBKlass
You've seen his breakdowns and football analysis on Twitter and elsewhere. Now, Derrik Klassen brings his unmatched knowledge of the game to OddsChecker to give us his NFL picks each and every week.
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