NFL Player Props Week 9: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
NFL Player Props Week 9: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Week 9 of the NFL season is upon us. Unreal to think we are almost at the halfway point of the season. We've managed a good profit so far on anytime touchdowns and I am focused on building on it here. Last weekend was tough, we nailed our top pick and banker of the week but the rest of our picks didn't go the way we had hoped for. Thursday Night Football provided us with a couple of good winners to kick off our Week 9 anytime touchdown picks.
It's time to get back on track and keep this train rolling! With Week 9 of the NFL here I'm looking for a strong week of anytime touchdown picks and trying to build our profit this season. Best of luck if you tail!
Week 9 Top Anytime TD Bets
Elijah Mitchell (+150)
Mitchell has at least 18 touches in all four games he's played with Jimmy Garoppolo as the starter. He has now scored in two straight weeks and in three out of four games he didn't have to leave with an injury. In three of his four games this season with 15-plus touches, he has at least 100 rushing yards and a touchdown. He now gets to face an Arizona defense allowing the fourth-most yard per carry to opposing running backs. The Cardinals defense has done an excellent job keeping other teams out of the end zone so far in 2021 but with Kyler Murray and wide receiver Deandre Hopkins possibly sitting this one out the 49ers should play with a lead here. If Murray does indeed sit, I will make this a BANKER. A 2-Unit play.
Darrell Williams (+145)
This is your typical you zig -- I zag situation. Many people are scared off of Williams after what we saw with the running back splits last week. He received 6 targets and 52 snaps still. So many are scared of Derrick Gore getting more work when in reality he only played 16 snaps. If you're giving me the starting running back for a Patrick Mahomes-led offense at these odds I will bet it every week. The Packers are tied for the third most scores allowed to opposing running backs so far adding to our confidence.
Devonta Freeman (+220)
With running back Latavius Murray expected to miss his second game, Freeman will lead the Ravens backfield again. The Vikings are about the middle of the pack when defending against the run. That will change this Sunday. As the Ravens have the third-best run-blocking unit in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 32nd in the NFL in run-stopping and they lost their best run stopper in Danielle Hunter to injury. Without Murray, Freeman has been underwhelming but he is receiving the goal-line work for Baltimore as no other running back has received a carry in the red zone since Murray has been injured. The Baltimore running game is set for a big week led by Freeman and Lamar Jackson.
Emmanuel Sanders (+175)
Myself and the rest of the world believe the Bills are ready to roll once again this week. Last week there was plenty of Emmanuel Sanders tickets that didn't fare well as he was held without a catch. This week I expect a complete 180 in that department as well as the touchdown department. Sanders is tied for the league lead with 9 targets in the end zone. The Jaguars allow the highest catch rate to wide receivers. He also will be lined up against rookie Tyson Campbell most of the game as Shaq Griffin will likely be shadowing Stefon Diggs this Sunday. His matchup against Campbell will be one for the Bills and Josh Allen to exploit all day.
Tyler Conklin (+450)
Staying in Baltimore I'm backing the Vikings tight end to find the end zone. This one is simple. The Ravens have been one of the worst teams defending the pass against tight ends. They are tied for the most touchdowns allowed, the third most yards, and 6th most completions. Keep in mind Baltimore had its bye week so these ranks would be even worse. Conklin has seen steady usage so far in 2021 and with one of the highest totals set for the week he can easily find the endzone for us!
Tommy Sweeney (+400)
Yes, I'm doing it again. We're going back one more time to the well with Sweeney. He actually had a decent showing last week finishing with 3 catches on 4 targets for 30 yards. This week the Bills get the Jaguars and there's no need to go into detail about how bad they are on defense. This isn't my favorite pick from this game but to get a guy at this price with Josh Allen passing to him we can't let this pass us by.
Tyrod Taylor (+650)
When I saw this I just couldn't believe it. Taylor has been on IR since Week 3 and is finally set to make his return. Although a small sample size, Taylor rushed 4 times for 40 yards in Week 1 and he finished with 1 rush for a 15-yard touchdown in Week 2 before he left the game. Miami is among the bottom of the league in keeping running backs out of the end zone and with Taylor having designed run plays I can easily see him scoring. In his 49 career starts he has 17 rushing scores. In a matchup facing a terrible Dolphins defense, these odds are far too high to not back.
Mark Ingram (+320)
Ingram had 52 yards on eight touches in his first game back with New Orleans and played 29% of snaps. With Trevor Semien under-center the Saints should be even more run-heavy. He had 6 rushes and 1 was in the red zone in his first game back with the Saints. If we look at former Saints back Latavius Murray we can sort of gauge what his usage might be alongside Kamara. Between 2019 and 2020, Murray had an average of 11.6 touches per game. Couple this with the fact the Falcons defense has allowed the eighth-most rushing yards per game I like Ingram to score.
Dallas Goedert (+200)
With the trade of Zach Ertz, Goedert has become the focal point of the Eagles offense. The Chargers have allowed the sixth-most yards and are tied for the second-most touchdowns allowed to tight ends. Among teams that have had their bye week, only the Ravens have been worse defending tight ends. He has caught nine of 12 targets for 142 yards over the last two weeks.
Week 9 Anytime Touchdown Picks
- Elijah Mitchell (+150)
- Darrell Williams (+145)
- Devonta Freeman (+220)
- Emmanuel Sanders (+175)
- Tyler Conklin (+450)
- Tommy Sweeney (+400)
- Tyrod Taylor (+650)
- Mark Ingram (+320)
- Dallas Goedert (+200)