TNF Player Prop Picks: The Best Bets for Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens

Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop takes a look at the top NFL player props to bet for the Week 10 Thursday Night Football matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Baltimore Ravens.
John Hyslop
Wed, November 10, 12:09 PM EST

TNF Player Prop Picks: The Best Bets for Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens

I have no idea how we are getting this number, but we are. I would like to start this article by introducing the game and talking about how the Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins are kicking off Week 10 on Thursday night this week. It would be great if I could get in the fact that it will be in the mid-70s with minimal wind and a chance of scattered thunderstorms in Miami for this game. But I can't. I don't want to waste another second not talking about what I think may be the greatest bet of all time. We could literally be a part of history after this one is said and done—no time for pleasantries today people.

Durham Smythe over 8.5 receiving yards (-115)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

I was going to make fun of DraftKings for posting this one, but I can't. BetMGM has the exact same bet hanging, and FanDuel is not far behind at 8.5 for -116. It's like these people don't watch football sometimes. It's crazy.

For starters, Durham Smythe just sounds like a tight end. Second, he just seems like a guy that can be trusted to clear at least 8.5 receiving yards on name alone. Put it this way, when you tell your friends who you bet, the reaction to the wager will be met with the same astonishment as Patrick Bateman's when he saw Paul Allen's business card in American Psycho. Think, "oh my God, it even has a watermark," people. It's that good.

On top of a prime tight end name, Smythe also has numbers to back this up. In his last three starts, he's gone for at least 23 yards in all of them. No matter who the quarterback is, this guy is going 20+. That's because even though he's a "backup," he's on the field for more than half the plays.

The game script could obviously work for us since the Ravens could boat race the Dolphins. But on top of that, only two teams have given up more receiving yards to the tight end position this season than the Ravens. Both of those teams have played one more game than Baltimore too. So when the Dolphins will need to throw, tight ends should be used.

I'll leave you with a parting thought, a lot of people are going to go with Mike Gesicki, which isn't a bad move. But in this situation, he's like the "Silian Rail" typeface business card in American Psycho (Patrick Bateman's). It's nice, but it doesn't wow the crowd quite like Paul Allen's Copperplate Gothic typeface with the watermark. That's Durham Smythe people. 

(*Editor's note*: As is his nature, John always has his eye out for more mouth-watering bets. He spotted this one on game day and knew it would be too good not to share. So here it is.)

People, I apologize for the late post. It's my bad really but I have a great explanation. Probably the best explanation in the history of explanations. Here it is. DraftKings tried to get slick and just throw this one up when they thought no one was looking. Well, I was looking and I saw it immediately because this is Durham Smythe wWeek and I don't miss Durham Smythe news when there's Durham Smythe news on Durham Smythe wWeek. It just doesn't happen.

Durham Smythe Over 1.5 receptions (+140)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

I'm going to take a little heat for this but I got so excited when I saw Durham Smythe at O1.5 for +140 that I jumped on it like it was a trampoline. I didn't even think to check BetMGM but they have the same O1.5 for +145 so that's my bad. It takes a big man to admit when he messed up but I'm doing it. That's big of me.

Durham Smythe has caught at least two balls in each of his last five games. It's true and nobody can take that away from him. The thing is, he only got two targets last week so people are going to get nervous. Don't be. They were ahead the whole time last week. I doubt that happens this week since they won't completely stop Lamar Jackson.

Even though the Ravens are good, one thing they don't do so well is cover the tight end. You know that because I told you that in my last Durham Smythe article. Only four teams in the NFL have given up more receptions to the tight end position than the Ravens. Three of those teams have played more games than Baltimore. Durham Smythe is going to catch at least two balls tonight, people. We should bet on it.

John Hyslop
@sloprules
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.
Nov 2021
Record
Wins
5
Losses
2
Push
0
ROI
50.53%
0Betslip

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