Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet for TNF

Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop takes a look at the top NFL player props to bet for the Week 11 Thursday Night Football matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots.
John Hyslop
Wed, November 17, 6:58 PM EST

Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet for TNF

We only get so many Thursday night games so we literally have to bet them. Our hands are tied here, people. Think about not betting one of these games. I'm serious. Think about sitting down, turning on the television and watching the Thursday night football game without action. I get sick when I think about an existence like that. I wouldn't wish it on anyone. Luckily, there is a pretty good angle on a guy that I'm really starting to like. It's time, people.

Click here for complete Falcons vs. Patriots Odds

Kendrick Bourne Over 32.5 receiving yards (-115)*

Line available at PointsBet at time of publishing.

This one is hanging at PointsBet right now. Using the OddsChecker grid, we see that DraftKings is offering 33.5 at -115 and FanDuel is offering 35.5 for -114, so I obviously went PointsBet. BetMGM also has 33.5 for -115

I am a big Kendrick Bourne guy. Maybe the biggest. The guy Mosses people seemingly every week, and even though he is on the field less than Jakobi Meyers and Nelson Agholor, he still gets targets. Over the last four weeks, he's been targeted at least four times in every game. With a burner like Bourne, one target may be all you need.

One concern that the haters are going to point to is the fact that the Falcons haven't given up a 40+ yard pass play all season. That's an issue because we want a home run during a primetime game. Technically, Bourne doesn't need a 40+ yard pass play, but you know what I mean.

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I did a little fact-checking and deep diving and I came back with some information that is interesting. Turns out, the "no 40+ yard pass play" narrative doesn't count. It's fake. When you see what quarterbacks the Falcons have seen, it all makes sense. Trevor Siemian, Sam Darnold, Zach Wilson, Tua Tagovailoa, Taylor Heinicke, Jalen Hurts, and Daniel Jones are all on the list.

Atlanta did play Tom Brady and Dak Prescott. Brady had four different guys catch 20+ yard passes while Prescott saw three guys do it. The Falcons can be had through the air. I'm still not sure the Patriots will blow out Atlanta, which would be huge as we may need Mac Jones to throw the ball into the fourth quarter. Either way, Bourne should get home on this number.

*If you are on a (+) moneyline-only diet, I get it, and FanDuel has your back because they are offering 40+ receiving yards at +120. You can always go that route.

John Hyslop
@sloprules
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.
Nov 2021
Record
Wins
5
Losses
2
Push
0
ROI
50.53%
0Betslip

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