New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons TNF Same-Game Parlay: Ride The Pats
A lot has changed since these two teams met in the Super Bowl for the infamous 28-3 game. New England would win the AFC two more times and win another Super Bowl while the Falcons would have just one more winning season since that mark.
This week, the Patriots look to ride their win streak to make it five in a row. Will they do it on the short week or will see Atlanta get back to .500 in a home upset win? For Thursday Night Football, I have a three-leg same-game parlay for us to ride out in this one.
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Leg 1: Patriots at the half
New England is sixth in the NFL with an average of 13.8 points per game in the first half. That number looks even better when you look just at their last three games and it comes in at 17 points per over their last three. For Atlanta, they’re averaging 10.7 points per game in the first half and just 7.7 over their last three. Atlanta’s allowed the second-most points in the NFL, it’s hard to imagine New England not getting out to an early lead in this one and riding it through the first half, especially considering that the New England defense has allowed the second-fewest points in the NFL.
Leg 2: Patriots race to 20 points
Six weeks in a row, New England has scored 20 points or more. The irony here is that in three of their first four games they desperately struggled to get in the endzone with just one game over 20 points in that span. Those days are long gone as Mac Jones has looked significantly better and the run game has developed nicely as well. The Falcons have held an opponent to under 20 points just twice this season and it was the New York Jets and Carolina Panthers who have had their fair share of issues on offense in 2021.
Leg 3: Mac Jones over 199.5 passing yards
Over the last two weeks, Jones hasn’t been asked to do a lot throwing for just 198 and 139 yards in two dominant New England wins. But on the season, he’s averaging 233.3 yards per game and has gone over 200 yards in seven of 10 games on the season. On average, Atlanta allows opponents to throw 246.2 yards per game, and just twice this year, to Sam Darnold and Zach Wilson, have they held an opponent to under 200 yards in a game.
New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons Pick
3-leg same-game parlay +130 (Bet $100 to win $130)
Patriots at the half
Patriots race to 20 points
Mac Jones over 199.5 passing yards