Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Picks: Beating a Bad Line

Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop takes a look at the top NFL player prop to bet for the Week 11 matchup between the Chiefs vs. Cowboys.
John Hyslop
Sun, November 21, 9:10 AM EST

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Picks: Beating a Bad Line

No matter what, an NFL player prop always comes out of nowhere. I start looking on Thursdays and keep going until kickoff on Sunday, and if I had to guess, I'd say 100 percent of my greatest plays are the ones I find on Saturday night/Sunday morning. It's crazy how that works. It happened again this weekend, and honestly, this is highly likely to be the greatest bet of all time. I can't even believe this is real.

Click Here For Chiefs vs. Cowboys Odds

Tony Pollard Over 12.5 receiving yards (-113)

Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing.

FanDuel came correct with this one at 12.5 for -113. DraftKings wants -120 for 13.5 receiving yards which is going to hit, but it's clearly not the best price. BetMGM is offering 13.5 at -115, so they aren't much better. This is why we should always shop around.

I'm worried about the guy at FanDuel who thought this was a good idea. Clearly, he's suffering from something serious because nobody in their right mind would pull something like this under normal circumstances. Pollard just hung a 6-56 receiving line last week. On top of that, he has a great opponent this week.

I don't know if you saw, but the Chiefs might be back. Even if they aren't completely back, they should put enough pressure on the Cowboys that they won't sit on the ball. Only four teams in the NFL have given up more receiving yards to the running back position, so there's that too. One of those teams has played two more games too. This is a ridiculously bad line, and I almost feel bad taking it. Almost.

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John Hyslop
@sloprules
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.
Nov 2021
Record
Wins
5
Losses
2
Push
0
ROI
50.53%
0Betslip

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